Aston Villa vs. Manchester City prediction, odds, Premier League picks [10/26/2025]

Aston Villa and Manchester City are scheduled to meet in the Premier League at Villa Park on Sunday, with kickoff at 10:00AM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Manchester City as the most likely winner of the Aston Villa vs. Manchester City game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.

Aston Villa vs. Manchester City prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Aston Villa and Manchester City 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 22.3% chance of Aston Villa winning, a 54.9% chance for Manchester City, and a 22.8% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 56% chance of going over, according to our model.

Aston Villa vs. Manchester City odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Total Goals

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Aston Villa vs. Manchester City picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Aston Villa moneyline.

Aston Villa vs. Manchester City: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.9% chance of the yes hitting, and a 44.1% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Aston Villa vs. Manchester City game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's Premier League game between Aston Villa and Manchester City at Villa Park is scheduled to begin in the United States at 10:00AM ET.

• Who: Aston Villa vs. Manchester City
• Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025
• Time: 10:00AM ET/7:00AM PT
• Venue: Villa Park

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Aston Villa has a 22.3% win probability on Sunday, Manchester City has a 54.9% win probability, and there is a 22.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Aston Villa vs. Manchester City insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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More on Premier League

Keep up with the latest Premier League news and parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our Premier League futures odds provide the latest probabilities for the Premier League title.

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