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Aston Villa vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Aston Villa vs. Manchester City Premier League game on October 26, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester City
0
1
Oct 26, 2PM Villa Park
Aston Villa
Oct 26, 2PM Villa Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
Manchester CityMNC
M. Cash (19')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
MNC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: D. Malen replaces O. Watkins
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: I. Maatsen replaces L. Digne
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: O. Marmoush replaces Savinho
81'
Yellow Card
B. Kamara (Aston Villa) cautioned
80'
Yellow Card
P. Foden (Manchester City) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: R. Cherki replaces T. Reijnders
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: R. Barkley replaces J. McGinn
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: E. Guessand replaces J. Sancho
64'
Yellow Card
Nico (Manchester City) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: Nico replaces B. Silva
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: J. Doku replaces O. Bobb
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: N. O'Reilly replaces J. Stones
54'
Yellow Card
T. Reijnders (Manchester City) cautioned
40'
Yellow Card
Savinho (Manchester City) cautioned
29'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Sancho replaces E. Buendia
19'
Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Cash, assisted by E. Buendia
0-1

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Aston Villa vs. Manchester City: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Manchester City
  • Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Aston Villa +340, Manchester City -120, Draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 (-140/+123)

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 22.3%
  • Manchester City: 54.9%
  • Draw: 22.8%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Aston Villa 1-1 Manchester City, which has a correct score probability of 11%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Aston Villa a win probability of 22.3%, while Manchester City has a win probability of 54.9%. The chance of a draw is 22.8%.

Summary

Our Aston Villa vs. Manchester City predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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