Sunderland vs. Chelsea prediction, odds, Premier League picks [11/8/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Sunderland and Chelsea, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model suggests a 27.8% chance of Sunderland winning, a 48.2% chance for Chelsea, and a 24.0% chance of a draw. Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55.7% chance of going over., with a 57.6% likelihood that both teams find the net.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Chelsea +106, Sunderland +290
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-117/+113)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Sunderland @ +290 via BetRivers
• Total Goals: Over 2.5 @ -117 via Polymarket

According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sunderland to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score and BTTS projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Sunderland 1-1 Chelsea (11.2% probability)
• Sunderland 1-2 Chelsea (9.5%)
• Sunderland 0-1 Chelsea (9.2%)

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 57.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 42.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Sunday's Premier League action between Sunderland and Chelsea at Stadium of Light is scheduled to commence in the United States at 9:00 AM ET.

• Who: Sunderland vs. Chelsea
• Date: Sunday, November 8, 2026
• Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00 AM PT
• Venue: Stadium of Light

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Sunderland has a 27.8% win probability on Sunday, Chelsea has a 48.2% win probability, and there is a 24.0% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary Premier League prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.