Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Mavericks NBA game on March 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Warriors
137
131
American Airlines Center
Mavericks
American Airlines Center
TEAM1234T
Warriors
34 57 0 46 137
Mavericks
31 60 0 40 131
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Warriors
    >99%
  • Mavericks
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Warriors
34 57 0 46 137
Mavericks
31 60 0 40 131
OT1 00:26 Mavericks misses three point jump shot
OT1 00:33 Kristaps Porzingis misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:01 Max Christie misses three point jump shot
OT1 1:09 Warriors misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:49 Mavericks makes three point jump shot
OT1 2:00 Klay Thompson blocks Moses Moody's three point jump shot
OT1 2:20 Mavericks misses two point jump shot
OT1 2:31 Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot
OT1 2:52 Mavericks makes two point jump shot
OT1 3:08 Brandin Podziemski misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. OT1 00:00
    End of 1st OT.
  2. OT1 00:04
    Mavericks turnover
  3. OT1 00:07
    Mavericks personal foul
  4. OT1 00:07
    Draymond Green misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  5. OT1 00:07
    Warriors offensive rebound
  6. OT1 00:07
    +1
    Draymond Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    137-131
  7. OT1 00:07
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  8. OT1 00:23
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  9. OT1 00:26
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  10. OT1 00:32
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  11. OT1 00:32
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  12. OT1 00:32
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II)
  13. OT1 00:33
    Kristaps Porzingis misses two point jump shot
  14. OT1 00:36
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  15. OT1 00:58
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis)
  16. OT1 00:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  17. OT1 00:58
    Warriors defensive rebound
  18. OT1 00:58
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  19. OT1 1:01
    Max Christie misses three point jump shot
  20. OT1 1:07
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  21. OT1 1:09
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  22. OT1 1:13
    Mavericks turnover
  23. OT1 1:26
    Klay Thompson shooting foul (Gui Santos draws the foul)
  24. OT1 1:26
    Gui Santos misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  25. OT1 1:26
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  26. OT1 1:26
    Warriors offensive rebound
  27. OT1 1:26
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    137-131
  28. OT1 1:49
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    137-131
  29. OT1 2:00
    Klay Thompson blocks Moses Moody's three point jump shot
  30. OT1 2:00
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  31. OT1 2:00
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  32. OT1 2:00
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody)
  33. OT1 2:19
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  34. OT1 2:20
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  35. OT1 2:31
    +2
    Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot
    135-128
  36. OT1 2:52
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    137-131
  37. OT1 3:00
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  38. OT1 3:00
    Gui Santos personal foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
  39. OT1 3:04
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  40. OT1 3:08
    Brandin Podziemski misses two point jump shot
  41. OT1 3:31
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  42. OT1 3:34
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  43. OT1 3:47
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    135-131
  44. OT1 3:47
    Cooper Flagg shooting foul (Gui Santos draws the foul)
  45. OT1 3:47
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  46. OT1 3:47
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    137-131
  47. OT1 3:47
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Gary Payton II, Moses Moody)
  48. OT1 3:59
    Cooper Flagg personal foul (Moses Moody draws the foul)
  49. OT1 3:59
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  50. OT1 3:59
    Moses Moody defensive rebound
  51. OT1 4:13
    +3
    Moses Moody makes three point jump shot
    126-126
  52. OT1 4:16
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  53. OT1 4:21
    LJ Cryer defensive rebound
  54. OT1 4:24
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  55. OT1 4:41
    Mavericks personal foul
  56. OT1 4:41
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    135-131
  57. OT1 4:41
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    137-131
  58. Q4 00:00
    Instant replay
  59. Q4 00:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, P.J. Washington)
  60. OT1 5:00
    (Brandin Podziemski gains possession)
  61. OT1 5:00
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Moses Moody)
  62. Q4 00:00
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  63. Q4 00:00
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  64. Q4 00:00
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, Moses Moody)
  65. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  66. OT1 5:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Max Christie, P.J. Washington)
  67. Q4 00:01
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  68. Q4 00:15
    Jump ball. P.J. Washington (Klay Thompson gains possession)
  69. Q4 00:15
    Draymond Green turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Washington steals)
  70. Q4 00:18
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  71. Q4 00:18
    Draymond Green offensive rebound
  72. Q4 00:19
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  73. Q4 00:19
    Gui Santos offensive rebound
  74. Q4 00:22
    Kristaps Porzingis misses two point layup
  75. Q4 00:26
    Draymond Green offensive rebound
  76. Q4 00:28
    Moses Moody misses three point pullup jump shot
  77. Q4 00:48
    Naji Marshall turnover (traveling)
  78. Q4 00:53
    Draymond Green turnover
  79. Q4 1:16
    +3
    Max Christie makes three point jump shot
    135-131
  80. Q4 1:32
    Mavericks personal foul
  81. Q4 1:32
    Kristaps Porzingis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  82. Q4 1:32
    +1
    Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    135-131
  83. Q4 1:32
    Warriors offensive rebound
  84. Q4 1:43
    Draymond Green personal foul
  85. Q4 1:43
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    122-114
  86. Q4 1:43
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    136-131
  87. Q4 1:55
    Kristaps Porzingis turnover (offensive foul)
  88. Q4 1:55
    Kristaps Porzingis offensive foul (Off the ball) (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
  89. Q4 1:55
    Stoppage (Injury)
  90. Q4 1:55
    Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Max Christie, P.J. Washington)
  91. Q4 1:58
    Mavericks turnover
  92. Q4 2:23
    Moses Moody misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  93. Q4 2:23
    +1
    Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    122-114
  94. Q4 2:23
    Daniel Gafford personal foul (Moses Moody draws the foul)
  95. Q4 2:23
    Warriors offensive rebound
  96. Q4 2:49
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    122-114
  97. Q4 3:04
    Gui Santos offensive rebound
  98. Q4 3:04
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    126-126
  99. Q4 3:06
    Kristaps Porzingis misses two point jump shot
  100. Q4 3:06
    Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
  101. Q4 3:09
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  102. Q4 3:10
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  103. Q4 3:12
    Moses Moody misses three point jump shot
  104. Q4 3:28
    +2
    Max Christie makes two point running layup
    122-114
  105. Q4 3:28
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody)
  106. Q4 3:28
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  107. Q4 3:30
    Pat Spencer turnover (Naji Marshall steals)
  108. Q4 3:39
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    122-114
  109. Q4 3:53
    Warriors lineup change (Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Moses Moody)
  110. Q4 3:53
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  111. Q4 3:58
    +2
    Kristaps Porzingis makes two point driving bank jump shot (Gary Payton II assists)
    122-114
  112. Q4 4:11
    Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
  113. Q4 4:15
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  114. Q4 4:32
    LJ Cryer personal foul
  115. Q4 4:35
    Brandin Podziemski turnover (bad pass) (Naji Marshall steals)
  116. Q4 4:51
    +2
    Daniel Gafford makes two point jump shot
    120-114
  117. Q4 4:55
    P.J. Washington defensive rebound
  118. Q4 4:58
    Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
  119. Q4 5:08
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  120. Q4 5:11
    Gary Payton II personal foul
  121. Q4 5:11
    Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  122. Q4 5:11
    Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  123. Q4 5:11
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  124. Q4 5:11
    Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford)
  125. Q4 5:14
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  126. Q4 5:17
    Mavericks personal foul
  127. Q4 5:17
    +2
    Gary Payton II makes two point reverse layup (De'Anthony Melton assists)
    135-131
  128. Q4 5:17
    Gary Payton II misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  129. Q4 5:17
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Brandin Podziemski, Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, Moses Moody)
  130. Q4 5:25
    De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
  131. Q4 5:28
    Ryan Nembhard misses two point pullup jump shot
  132. Q4 5:49
    +3
    Gary Payton II makes three point jump shot (Brandin Podziemski assists)
    126-126
  133. Q4 6:08
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point driving finger roll layup
    120-114
  134. Q4 6:15
    De'Anthony Melton turnover
  135. Q4 6:26
    Cooper Flagg personal foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
  136. Q4 6:26
    Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford)
  137. Q4 6:30
    Warriors offensive rebound
  138. Q4 6:30
    De'Anthony Melton misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  139. Q4 6:30
    Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford)
  140. Q4 6:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  141. Q4 6:30
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II, Moses Moody, De'Anthony Melton)
  142. Q4 6:33
    De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
  143. Q4 6:35
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  144. Q4 6:43
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    122-114
  145. Q4 6:56
    +2
    Draymond Green makes two point layup (Gui Santos assists)
    122-114
  146. Q4 6:58
    Gui Santos offensive rebound
  147. Q4 7:02
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  148. Q4 7:19
    Mavericks turnover (shot clock violation)
  149. Q4 7:19
    Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Max Christie)
  150. Q4 7:43
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    113-108
  151. Q4 7:47
    Mavericks turnover (Gary Payton II steals)
  152. Q4 7:47
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  153. Q4 7:53
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  154. Q4 8:05
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    111-108
  155. Q4 8:24
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  156. Q4 8:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  157. Q4 8:25
    Draymond Green misses three point jump shot
  158. Q4 8:26
    Brandin Podziemski misses two point tip layup
  159. Q4 8:26
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  160. Q4 8:44
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Gary Payton II, De'Anthony Melton)
  161. Q4 8:44
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  162. Q4 8:46
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    122-114
  163. Q4 8:58
    Moses Moody personal foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
  164. Q4 8:58
    Mavericks lineup change (John Poulakidas, Marvin Bagley III, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson)
  165. Q4 9:00
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  166. Q4 9:00
    LJ Cryer misses three point jump shot
  167. Q4 9:05
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  168. Q4 9:07
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  169. Q4 9:13
    Warriors turnover
  170. Q4 9:29
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point driving floating jump shot
    122-114
  171. Q4 9:48
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    136-131
  172. Q4 10:03
    +3
    Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot (Naji Marshall assists)
    91-91
  173. Q4 10:07
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  174. Q4 10:10
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  175. Q4 10:25
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  176. Q4 10:25
    Warriors defensive rebound
  177. Q4 10:27
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  178. Q4 10:50
    Mavericks lineup change (John Poulakidas, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford)
  179. Q4 10:50
    LJ Cryer offensive rebound
  180. Q4 10:50
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  181. Q4 10:50
    LJ Cryer misses two point running layup
  182. Q4 10:50
    +2
    LJ Cryer makes two point tip layup
    122-114
  183. Q4 10:55
    Cooper Flagg turnover (Moses Moody steals)
  184. Q4 11:03
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    91-91
  185. Q4 11:03
    Khris Middleton personal foul
  186. Q4 11:03
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  187. Q4 11:03
    Warriors offensive rebound
  188. Q4 11:03
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  189. Q4 11:03
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    136-131
  190. Q4 11:11
    Pat Spencer defensive rebound
  191. Q4 11:13
    Khris Middleton misses three point jump shot
  192. Q4 11:24
    Mavericks turnover
  193. Q4 11:24
    Warriors turnover
  194. Q4 11:34
    +3
    LJ Cryer makes three point jump shot (Pat Spencer assists)
    122-114
  195. Q4 11:41
    Cooper Flagg turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  196. Q4 11:48
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    122-114
  197. Q4 11:48
    Mavericks personal foul
  198. Q4 11:48
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    122-114
  199. Q3 00:00
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  200. Q3 00:00
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  201. Q4 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Pat Spencer, Moses Moody)
  202. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  203. Q4 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (John Poulakidas, Khris Middleton, Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, Daniel Gafford)
  204. Q3 00:01
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  205. Q3 00:01
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  206. Q3 00:03
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  207. Q3 00:25
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  208. Q3 00:28
    Ryan Nembhard misses two point jump shot
  209. Q3 00:36
    +2
    Gary Payton II makes two point jump shot
    91-91
  210. Q3 00:44
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    91-91
  211. Q3 00:58
    Tyler Smith shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
  212. Q3 00:58
    +2
    Kristaps Porzingis makes two point jump shot
    91-91
  213. Q3 00:58
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, Moses Moody)
  214. Q3 00:58
    +1
    Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    126-126
  215. Q3 1:14
    +3
    Klay Thompson makes three point jump shot
    91-91
  216. Q3 1:22
    +2
    Brandin Podziemski makes two point driving layup
    91-91
  217. Q3 1:39
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    91-91
  218. Q3 1:49
    +2
    Gui Santos makes two point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)
    91-91
  219. Q3 1:49
    Daniel Gafford violation
  220. Q3 1:59
    Khris Middleton turnover (Kristaps Porzingis steals)
  221. Q3 2:01
    Khris Middleton offensive rebound
  222. Q3 2:03
    Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
  223. Q3 2:21
    +3
    Will Richard makes three point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)
    91-91
  224. Q3 2:30
    Ryan Nembhard turnover (bad pass) (Gui Santos steals)
  225. Q3 2:39
    Daniel Gafford defensive rebound
  226. Q3 2:42
    Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
  227. Q3 2:49
    Daniel Gafford personal foul (Brandin Podziemski draws the foul)
  228. Q3 2:49
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  229. Q3 2:51
    Klay Thompson turnover (Gui Santos steals)
  230. Q3 2:51
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    137-131
  231. Q3 3:02
    Khris Middleton defensive rebound
  232. Q3 3:05
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  233. Q3 3:12
    Warriors offensive rebound
  234. Q3 3:12
    Tyler Smith kicked ball violation
  235. Q3 3:12
    Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
  236. Q3 3:24
    +2
    Daniel Gafford makes two point jump shot
    126-126
  237. Q3 3:39
    +2
    Kristaps Porzingis makes two point pullup jump shot
    86-91
  238. Q3 3:46
    Mavericks lineup change (Khris Middleton, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Tyler Smith, Daniel Gafford)
  239. Q3 3:46
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Will Richard, Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II)
  240. Q3 3:46
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  241. Q3 3:49
    LJ Cryer defensive rebound
  242. Q3 3:52
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  243. Q3 4:10
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    126-126
  244. Q3 4:20
    LJ Cryer defensive rebound
  245. Q3 4:23
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  246. Q3 4:47
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    122-114
  247. Q3 5:00
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  248. Q3 5:03
    Ryan Nembhard misses three point jump shot
  249. Q3 5:20
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    78-86
  250. Q3 5:30
    Gary Payton II shooting foul (Marvin Bagley III draws the foul)
  251. Q3 5:30
    +2
    Marvin Bagley III makes two point jump shot
    122-114
  252. Q3 5:30
    +1
    Marvin Bagley III makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    122-114
  253. Q3 5:36
    Draymond Green turnover (Cooper Flagg steals)
  254. Q3 5:40
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Gary Payton II)
  255. Q3 5:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  256. Q3 5:49
    Marvin Bagley III turnover
  257. Q3 6:03
    Klay Thompson defensive rebound
  258. Q3 6:08
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  259. Q3 6:26
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
    122-114
  260. Q3 6:31
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  261. Q3 6:38
    Warriors violation
  262. Q3 6:38
    LJ Cryer personal foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
  263. Q3 6:38
    Mavericks lineup change (Ryan Nembhard, Marvin Bagley III, Cooper Flagg, Klay Thompson, P.J. Washington)
  264. Q3 6:56
    Marvin Bagley III personal foul
  265. Q3 6:56
    Gui Santos misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  266. Q3 6:56
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  267. Q3 6:56
    Warriors offensive rebound
  268. Q3 6:56
    +1
    Gui Santos makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    126-126
  269. Q3 7:01
    Gui Santos defensive rebound
  270. Q3 7:04
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  271. Q3 7:09
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  272. Q3 7:09
    Gui Santos personal foul
  273. Q3 7:09
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  274. Q3 7:25
    De'Anthony Melton turnover (Daniel Gafford steals)
  275. Q3 7:26
    De'Anthony Melton personal foul
  276. Q3 7:26
    Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, P.J. Washington)
  277. Q3 7:26
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Gui Santos, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, De'Anthony Melton)
  278. Q3 7:26
    Mavericks lineup change (Marvin Bagley III, Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, P.J. Washington)
  279. Q3 7:34
    Gui Santos offensive rebound
  280. Q3 7:38
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  281. Q3 7:51
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
    91-91
  282. Q3 7:51
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  283. Q3 8:07
    Draymond Green turnover (offensive foul)
  284. Q3 8:07
    Draymond Green offensive foul (Charge) (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
  285. Q3 8:07
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, De'Anthony Melton)
  286. Q3 8:07
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Moses Moody, De'Anthony Melton)
  287. Q3 8:14
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
    113-108
  288. Q3 8:14
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  289. Q3 8:18
    Cooper Flagg misses two point jump shot
  290. Q3 8:18
    Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
  291. Q3 8:31
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    91-91
  292. Q3 8:45
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    113-108
  293. Q3 9:02
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    113-108
  294. Q3 9:21
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot (Daniel Gafford assists)
    91-91
  295. Q3 9:31
    Cooper Flagg violation
  296. Q3 9:31
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    113-108
  297. Q3 9:38
    Warriors offensive rebound
  298. Q3 9:38
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  299. Q3 9:40
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  300. Q3 9:45
    Mavericks turnover
  301. Q3 10:00
    +2
    Kristaps Porzingis makes two point driving floating jump shot (De'Anthony Melton assists)
    91-91
  302. Q3 10:04
    De'Anthony Melton offensive rebound
  303. Q3 10:08
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  304. Q3 10:10
    Warriors offensive rebound
  305. Q3 10:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  306. Q3 10:12
    Daniel Gafford blocks Brandin Podziemski's two point driving layup
  307. Q3 10:17
    Draymond Green defensive rebound
  308. Q3 10:19
    Moses Moody blocks Mavericks's two point jump shot
  309. Q3 10:33
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    63-69
  310. Q3 10:33
    Kristaps Porzingis offensive rebound
  311. Q3 10:38
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  312. Q3 10:41
    Moses Moody offensive rebound
  313. Q3 10:45
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  314. Q3 10:49
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  315. Q3 10:51
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  316. Q3 11:01
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    113-108
  317. Q3 11:06
    Mavericks turnover
  318. Q3 11:22
    Warriors turnover
  319. Q3 11:27
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  320. Q3 11:43
    +2
    Daniel Gafford makes two point jump shot
    63-69
  321. Q3 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford)
  322. Q2 00:00
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    91-91
  323. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  324. Q3 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody, De'Anthony Melton)
  325. Q2 00:05
    Warriors turnover
  326. Q2 00:05
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis, Gary Payton II)
  327. Q2 00:05
    Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Max Christie, P.J. Washington)
  328. Q2 00:25
    Draymond Green shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)
  329. Q2 00:25
    Daniel Gafford offensive rebound
  330. Q2 00:25
    +1
    Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-91
  331. Q2 00:25
    +1
    Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    91-91
  332. Q2 00:25
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody)
  333. Q2 00:29
    Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
  334. Q2 00:37
    Naji Marshall defensive rebound
  335. Q2 00:39
    Brandin Podziemski misses three point jump shot
  336. Q2 00:50
    Mavericks turnover
  337. Q2 1:15
    +2
    Draymond Green makes two point cutting layup (Brandin Podziemski assists)
    63-69
  338. Q2 1:18
    Brandin Podziemski offensive rebound
  339. Q2 1:21
    Moses Moody misses three point jump shot
  340. Q2 1:33
    Naji Marshall turnover
  341. Q2 1:45
    +2
    Moses Moody makes two point driving layup
    61-69
  342. Q2 2:04
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    59-68
  343. Q2 2:04
    Moses Moody personal foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
  344. Q2 2:04
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    91-91
  345. Q2 2:10
    Mavericks personal foul
  346. Q2 2:10
    +1
    Moses Moody makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    58-67
  347. Q2 2:10
    Warriors lineup change (LJ Cryer, Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Moses Moody)
  348. Q2 2:10
    +1
    Moses Moody makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    91-91
  349. Q2 2:15
    Naji Marshall turnover (lost ball) (Brandin Podziemski steals)
  350. Q2 2:25
    Cooper Flagg personal foul (Loose ball) (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)
  351. Q2 2:25
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  352. Q2 2:25
    Warriors offensive rebound
  353. Q2 2:25
    +1
    Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    91-91
  354. Q2 2:25
    +1
    Kristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    91-91
  355. Q2 2:35
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  356. Q2 2:38
    Gui Santos personal foul (P.J. Washington draws the foul)
  357. Q2 2:38
    P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  358. Q2 2:38
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  359. Q2 2:38
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Draymond Green, Kristaps Porzingis, Moses Moody)
  360. Q2 2:38
    P.J. Washington misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  361. Q2 2:55
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    91-91
  362. Q2 3:18
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    91-91
  363. Q2 3:24
    Kristaps Porzingis turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  364. Q2 3:24
    Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
  365. Q2 3:27
    +1
    Daniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    52-62
  366. Q2 3:27
    Warriors personal foul
  367. Q2 3:27
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  368. Q2 3:27
    Daniel Gafford misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  369. Q2 3:28
    Gui Santos misses three point jump shot
  370. Q2 3:47
    +2
    Daniel Gafford makes two point jump shot
    91-91
  371. Q2 4:03
    Warriors turnover
  372. Q2 4:15
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  373. Q2 4:15
    +2
    P.J. Washington makes two point layup (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    52-62
  374. Q2 4:15
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Brandin Podziemski, Kristaps Porzingis, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II)
  375. Q2 4:15
    Mavericks lineup change (Cooper Flagg, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, P.J. Washington, Daniel Gafford)
  376. Q2 4:46
    Warriors lineup change (Gui Santos, Kristaps Porzingis, Pat Spencer, Gary Payton II, De'Anthony Melton)
  377. Q2 4:46
    Mavericks lineup change (John Poulakidas, Marvin Bagley III, Naji Marshall, Max Christie, P.J. Washington)
Box Score
Warriors
PosPlayerPts
Mavericks
PosPlayerPts

Warriors vs. Mavericks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Warriors vs. Mavericks
  • Date: Monday, March 23, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Warriors favored at -2.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Warriors 53¢, Mavericks 44¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Warriors: 60%
  • Mavericks: 40%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 117-114 Mavericks.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 60%, while the Mavericks have a win probability of 40%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at American Airlines Center on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Warriors vs. Mavericks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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