Nuggets vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Thunder NBA game on March 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Nuggets
126
129
Paycom Center
Thunder
Paycom Center
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 40 | 20 | 33 | 33 | 126 |
Thunder | 37 | 29 | 30 | 33 | 129 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Nuggets
- Thunder
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 40 | 20 | 33 | 33 | 126 |
Thunder | 37 | 29 | 30 | 33 | 129 |
Q4 00:00 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:03 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:08 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:13 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:31 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:47 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:05 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:39 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:49 Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- End of 4th Quarter.
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot126-129
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot125-126
- Thunder personal foul
- Jaylin Williams turnover
- Instant replay
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kenrich Williams)
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
- +1Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1126-126
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain)
- Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Spencer Jones)
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot122-126
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson)
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot122-123
- Jamal Murray defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot120-123
- Thunder personal foul
- Instant replay
- +1Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 2117-123
- Nikola Jokic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot116-123
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot116-121
- Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
- Thunder personal foul
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain)
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot113-121
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot113-118
- Nuggets personal foul
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- +1Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2111-117
- +1Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2111-118
- Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot111-116
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 2110-114
- +1Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 2 of 2111-114
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain)
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot109-114
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot109-111
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot109-109
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot107-109
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
- Nuggets turnover
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot107-107
- Spencer Jones offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot105-107
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Spencer Jones offensive rebound
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2105-104
- Cameron Johnson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Nikola Jokic offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Christian Braun defensive rebound
- Tim Hardaway Jr. personal foul
- +1Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 3104-103
- +1Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 3104-104
- Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 3 of 3
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Thunder offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain)
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot104-102
- Christian Braun offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Nuggets defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Spencer Jones)
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2102-101
- +1Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2102-102
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot102-100
- Thunder turnover
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Nuggets personal foul
- Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
- Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
- Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson, Spencer Jones)
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot102-98
- Spencer Jones offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Bruce Brown defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot99-98
- Bruce Brown offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Thunder personal foul
- Bruce Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- +1Bruce Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 297-98
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams)
- Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson, Spencer Jones)
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot96-98
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell)
- Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot96-96
- Thunder offensive rebound
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams)
- Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon, Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson)
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot93-96
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot91-95
- Nuggets personal foul
- Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain)
- +1Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 191-96
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot91-93
- Bruce Brown defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot89-93
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 287-92
- +1Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 287-93
- Nuggets turnover
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot87-91
- Jared McCain defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot87-88
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot87-85
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot84-85
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Aaron Wiggins)
- Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Spencer Jones)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot84-83
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot82-83
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot82-81
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot80-81
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot80-78
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot78-78
- Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot78-76
- Thunder personal foul
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Aaron Wiggins)
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot76-76
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot76-74
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot74-74
- Nuggets personal foul
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
- Spencer Jones offensive rebound
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot74-72
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Thunder turnover
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot72-72
- Christian Braun offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 268-72
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- +1Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 269-72
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Spencer Jones)
- Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Nuggets turnover
- Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Jamal Murray defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Cason Wallace defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
- Jamal Murray offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Thunder turnover
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot67-72
- Christian Braun defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot65-72
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot62-72
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Thunder defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Christian Braun defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets personal foul
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Aaron Gordon misses two point tip layup
- Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
- Thunder personal foul
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Jamal Murray)
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot62-69
- Cason Wallace offensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot62-66
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Jamal Murray defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot60-66
- Instant replay
- End of 1st Half.
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson)
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Christian Braun defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 259-63
- +1Nikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 260-63
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot58-63
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Nuggets personal foul
- Nuggets violation
- Thunder violation
- +1Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 258-61
- Aaron Wiggins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 257-60
- +1Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 258-60
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot56-60
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 252-60
- +1Cameron Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 253-60
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson)
- Cameron Johnson defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot51-60
- Spencer Jones offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot48-60
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Aaron Wiggins)
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Cameron Johnson, Spencer Jones)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot48-58
- Nuggets personal foul
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Thunder personal foul
- Christian Braun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Christian Braun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Aaron Wiggins)
- Thunder turnover
- Nuggets personal foul
- Christian Braun turnover (offensive foul)
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Nuggets defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot48-56
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot46-56
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot46-53
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Christian Braun defensive rebound
- Nuggets personal foul
- Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Thunder offensive rebound
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson, Spencer Jones)
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Aaron Wiggins)
- Luguentz Dort misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot46-50
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 146-51
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets turnover
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Thunder personal foul
- Nuggets defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Nuggets defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Nuggets personal foul
- Tim Hardaway Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot46-48
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot46-45
- Thunder personal foul
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot44-45
- Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot44-43
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot44-40
- Nuggets turnover
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Jamal Murray defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Luguentz Dort defensive rebound
- Thunder personal foul
- Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- Tim Hardaway Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Jamal Murray defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot42-40
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot40-40
- Nuggets personal foul
- Ajay Mitchell offensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Thunder offensive rebound
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Aaron Gordon, Tim Hardaway Jr., Jonas Valanciunas, Jamal Murray)
- Thunder lineup change (Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Ajay Mitchell, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot40-37
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot38-37
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot38-35
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot35-35
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot35-33
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot32-33
- Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot32-30
- Nuggets personal foul
- Bruce Brown turnover (offensive foul)
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot32-28
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot32-26
- Nuggets personal foul
- Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- Jump ball. (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander gains possession)
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot32-23
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Thunder offensive rebound
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 229-22
- Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Julian Strawther, Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun)
- +1Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 229-23
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot29-21
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot29-19
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Thunder defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot29-17
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- Nuggets lineup change (Nikola Jokic, Tim Hardaway Jr., Christian Braun, Jamal Murray, Cameron Johnson)
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain, Kenrich Williams)
- Christian Braun defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot27-17
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot25-17
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot25-15
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot23-15
- Nuggets turnover
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot23-13
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 222-10
- +1Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 223-10
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Jared McCain makes regular free throw 1 of 221-9
- +1Jared McCain makes regular free throw 2 of 221-10
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 220-8
- Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Ajay Mitchell, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jared McCain)
- +1Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 221-8
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot19-8
- Nikola Jokic defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot17-8
- Nuggets 60 second timeout
- Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot14-8
- Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +3Nuggets makes three point jump shot12-8
- Cameron Johnson offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Isaiah Joe defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot9-7
- Nuggets personal foul
- +1Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 19-8
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot8-5
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 19-5
- Jamal Murray defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Thunder personal foul
- Aaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 3
- Nuggets offensive rebound
- +1Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 35-5
- +1Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 3 of 36-5
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot4-5
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
- Nuggets misses two point jump shot
- Aaron Gordon offensive rebound
- Nuggets misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot4-2
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot4-0
- Christian Braun defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Nuggets makes two point jump shot2-0
- Nikola Jokic vs. Jaylin Williams (Aaron Gordon gains possession)
- Start of 1st Quarter
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Jaylin Williams, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Joe, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nuggets vs. Thunder
- Date: Monday, March 9, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Paycom Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -3.5
- Total (Over/Under): 237.5
- Moneyline Odds: Nuggets +143, Thunder -149
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nuggets: 37%
- Thunder: 63%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 116-120 Thunder.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 37%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Nuggets in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nuggets vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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