San Jose vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Jose vs. St Louis City MLS match on April 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
San Jose
3
2
CITYPARK
St Louis City
CITYPARK
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
S. Cordova (51')
Soccer ball icon
M. Hartel (54')
Soccer ball icon
P. Judd (8')
Soccer ball icon
T. Werner (pen.) (69')
Soccer ball icon
T. Werner (83')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • St Louis City
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Jose
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. Polvara (St. Louis City) cautioned
  2. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: Rafael Santos replaces T. Totland
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: E. Lowen replaces D. Edelman
  4. 84'
    Yellow Card
    J. Ricketts (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  5. 84'
    Yellow Card
    C. Durkin (St. Louis City) cautioned
  6. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by T. Werner, assisted by O. Bouda
    3-2
  7. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Teuchert replaces S. Becher
  8. 75'
    Yellow Card
    Daniel (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  9. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: B. McSorley replaces S. Cordova
  10. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Ricketts replaces M. Floriani
  11. 69'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by T. Werner (pen.)
    2-2
  12. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: O. Bouda replaces N. Fernandez
  13. 59'
    Yellow Card
    P. Judd (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  14. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Hartel, assisted by S. Becher
    1-2
  15. 51'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by S. Cordova
    1-1
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: R. Vieira replaces J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Tsakiris replaces J. Skahan
  18. 24'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: Daniel replaces E. Edwards
  19. 8'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by P. Judd
    1-0

San Jose vs. St Louis City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: CITYPARK

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose +220, St Louis City +135, draw +300

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Jose: 34.1%
  • St Louis City: 42.2%
  • Draw: 23.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Jose 1-1 St Louis City (10.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win San Jose vs. St Louis City? Prediction & correct score

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.2%.

The most likely correct score is San Jose 1-1 St Louis City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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