D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls MLS match on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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D.C. United
4
:
4
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red Bulls
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
D.C. UnitedDC
J. Hall (15')
Soccer ball icon
R. Donkor (21')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ruvalcaba (52')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ruvalcaba (71')
Soccer ball icon
T. Baribo (37')
Soccer ball icon
J. Hopkins (54')
Soccer ball icon
T. Baribo (59')
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T. Baribo (80')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY Red Bulls
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • D.C. United
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    C. Clark (DC United) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: J. Stroud replaces Peglow
  3. 86'
    Yellow Card
    M. Peltola (DC United) cautioned
  4. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: J. Murrell replaces J. Hopkins
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: N. Markovic replaces B. Servania
  6. 80'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo, assisted by S. Hefti
    4-4
  7. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. M. Choupo-Moting replaces J. Ruvalcaba
  8. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: C. Clark replaces A. Herrera
  9. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Ruvalcaba, assisted by R. Donkor
    3-4
  10. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: M. Sofo replaces R. Mosquera
  11. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: G. Berggren replaces A. Mehmeti
  12. 59'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo, assisted by Peglow
    3-3
  13. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by J. Hopkins, assisted by Peglow
    2-3
  14. 52'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Ruvalcaba, assisted by E. Forsberg
    1-3
  15. 50'
    Yellow Card
    A. Mehmeti (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Masanka Bungi replaces M. Dos Santos
  17. 37'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo, assisted by J. Hopkins
    1-2
  18. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by R. Donkor
    0-2
  19. 15'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Hall, assisted by R. Donkor
    0-1

D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: D.C. United +300, NY Red Bulls -110, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • D.C. United: 18.2%
  • NY Red Bulls: 60.3%
  • Draw: 21.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: D.C. United 0-1 NY Red Bulls (10.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win D.C. United vs. NY Red Bulls? Prediction & correct score

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 60.3%.

The most likely correct score is D.C. United 0-1 NY Red Bulls.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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