San Jose vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Jose vs. Sporting KC MLS match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
San Jose
3
1
Apr 11, 8:30 PM ET
Sporting KC
Apr 11, 8:30 PM ET
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
J. Bartlett (27')
Soccer ball icon
J. Skahan (44')
Soccer ball icon
J. Skahan (49')
Soccer ball icon
D. Romney (75')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sporting KC
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Jose
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Marie replaces P. Judd
82'
Yellow Card
T. Calheira (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: T. Calheira replaces J. Bartlett
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: K. Agyabeng replaces J. Reid
76'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Jasinski replaces B. Kikanovic
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by D. Romney, assisted by D. Munie
3-1
69'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces B. Leroux
69'
Substitution
Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Fernandez replaces J. Skahan
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Davis replaces M. Garcia
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Afrifa replaces S. Suleymanov
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: Capita replaces C. Harris
54'
Yellow Card
S. Suleymanov (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned
49'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Skahan, assisted by P. Judd
2-1
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by J. Skahan, assisted by N. Tsakiris
1-1
27'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by J. Bartlett, assisted by D. Joveljic
0-1

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San Jose vs. Sporting KC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose -135, Sporting KC +340, draw +320

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Jose: 49.4%
  • Sporting KC: 28.7%
  • Draw: 21.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Jose 1-1 Sporting KC (9.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win San Jose vs. Sporting KC? Prediction & correct score

San Jose is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.4%.

The most likely correct score is San Jose 1-1 Sporting KC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on San Jose vs. Sporting KC, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.