St Louis City vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. Dallas MLS match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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St Louis City
1
:
1
Toyota Stadium
Dallas
Toyota Stadium
DallasFCD
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
L. Deedson (48')
Soccer ball icon
T. Baumgartl (61')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Dallas
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • St Louis City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: B. McSorley replaces S. Becher
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Totland replaces Rafael Santos
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Perez replaces D. Edelman
  4. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: R. Binyamin replaces C. Cappis
  5. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: L. MacNaughton replaces J. Orozco
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Teuchert replaces S. Cordova
  7. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: H. Johansson replaces L. Deedson
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: J. Valiente replaces P. Delgado
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Moreno replaces L. Farrington
  10. 61'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by T. Baumgartl, assisted by D. Edelman
    1-1
  11. 58'
    Yellow Card
    M. Collodi (FC Dallas) cautioned
  12. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by L. Deedson, assisted by P. Musa
    0-1
  13. 39'
    Yellow Card
    C. Cappis (FC Dallas) cautioned
  14. 39'
    Yellow Card
    O. Urhoghide (FC Dallas) cautioned
  15. 35'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: Kaick replaces Ramiro
  16. 32'
    Yellow Card
    S. Cordova (St. Louis City) cautioned

St Louis City vs. Dallas: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Dallas
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +235, Dallas +110, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • St Louis City: 23.9%
  • Dallas: 54.0%
  • Draw: 22.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: St Louis City 1-1 Dallas (10.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win St Louis City vs. Dallas? Prediction & correct score

Dallas is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.0%.

The most likely correct score is St Louis City 1-1 Dallas.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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