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St Louis City vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds
Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. Dallas MLS match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS
St Louis City
1
:
1
Apr 11, 8:30 PM ET Toyota Stadium
Dallas
Apr 11, 8:30 PM ET Toyota Stadium
Score Summary
L. Deedson (48')
T. Baumgartl (61')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
- Dallas
- St Louis City
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for St. Louis City: B. McSorley replaces S. Becher
Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Totland replaces Rafael Santos
Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Perez replaces D. Edelman
Substitution for FC Dallas: R. Binyamin replaces C. Cappis
Substitution for St. Louis City: L. MacNaughton replaces J. Orozco
Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Teuchert replaces S. Cordova
Substitution for FC Dallas: H. Johansson replaces L. Deedson
Substitution for FC Dallas: J. Valiente replaces P. Delgado
Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Moreno replaces L. Farrington
Goal scored for St. Louis City by T. Baumgartl, assisted by D. Edelman
1-1
M. Collodi (FC Dallas) cautioned
Goal scored for FC Dallas by L. Deedson, assisted by P. Musa
0-1
C. Cappis (FC Dallas) cautioned
O. Urhoghide (FC Dallas) cautioned
Substitution for FC Dallas: Kaick replaces Ramiro
S. Cordova (St. Louis City) cautioned
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St Louis City vs. Dallas: Match prediction & analysis
Match overview
- Teams: St Louis City vs. Dallas
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Stadium
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: St Louis City +235, Dallas +110, draw +290
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+135)
Dimers' win & correct score probabilities
- St Louis City: 23.9%
- Dallas: 54.0%
- Draw: 22.1%
These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.
Most likely correct score: St Louis City 1-1 Dallas (10.1%)
Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.
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- Moneyline probabilities
- Total goals probabilities
- Correct score probabilities
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Who will win St Louis City vs. Dallas? Prediction & correct score
Dallas is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 54.0%.
The most likely correct score is St Louis City 1-1 Dallas.
But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.
Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.
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