Atlanta vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Atlanta vs. Chicago MLS match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Atlanta
0
1
Soldier Field
Chicago
Soldier Field
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
AtlantaATL
M. Haile-Selassie (13')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Chicago
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Atlanta
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane replaces J. Bamba
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Shokalook replaces P. Zinckernagel
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: A. Fortune replaces M. Galarza
  4. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: P. Amador replaces E. Baez
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: C. Togashi replaces E. Latte Lath
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: L. Brennan replaces S. Lobjanidze
  7. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces L. Barroso
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces D. D'Avilla
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Atlanta Utd: S. Alzate replaces C. Sanchez
  10. 49'
    Yellow Card
    L. Barroso (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  11. 13'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by M. Haile-Selassie, assisted by J. Bamba
    0-1
  12. 8'
    Yellow Card
    P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  13. 3'
    Yellow Card
    T. Jacob (Atlanta Utd) cautioned

Atlanta vs. Chicago: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Atlanta vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atlanta +550, Chicago -185, draw +360
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+138)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Atlanta: 18.9%
  • Chicago: 60.1%
  • Draw: 21.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Atlanta 1-2 Chicago (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Atlanta vs. Chicago? Prediction & correct score

Chicago is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 60.1%.

The most likely correct score is Atlanta 1-2 Chicago.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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