Houston vs. Colorado Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. Colorado MLS match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Houston
2
6
Colorado
ColoradoCOL
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
K. Thompson (5')
Soccer ball icon
J. Atencio (17')
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K. Thompson (53')
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Rafael Navarro (74')
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Felipe Andrade (o.g.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Rafael Navarro (pen.) (90')
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L. Ennali (69')
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Guilherme (90')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Colorado
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Houston
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Colorado Rapids by Felipe Andrade (o.g.)
    1-5
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme
    2-5
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Colorado Rapids by Rafael Navarro (pen.)
    2-6
  4. 89'
    Yellow Card
    J. Atencio (Colorado Rapids) cautioned
  5. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: N. Markanich replaces M. Bogusz
  6. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces E. Ponce
  7. 77'
    Yellow Card
    A. Resch (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  8. 74'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Colorado Rapids by Rafael Navarro, assisted by G. Minoungou
    1-4
  9. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Resch replaces E. Sviatchenko
  10. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Colorado Rapids: N. Cobb replaces K. Thompson
  11. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Colorado Rapids: A. Manyoma replaces D. Sealy
  12. 69'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by L. Ennali, assisted by Guilherme
    1-3
  13. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Colorado Rapids: G. Minoungou replaces D. Yapi
  14. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: I. Aliyu replaces D. Holmes
  15. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: H. Herrera replaces A. Bouzat
  16. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Colorado Rapids: K. Rosenberry replaces H. Ojediran
  17. 53'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Colorado Rapids by K. Thompson
    0-3
  18. 17'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Colorado Rapids by J. Atencio, assisted by Rafael Navarro
    0-2
  19. 5'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Colorado Rapids by K. Thompson, assisted by D. Sealy
    0-1

Houston vs. Colorado: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. Colorado
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston +250, Colorado +120, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-135/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Houston: 22.4%
  • Colorado: 55.1%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Houston 1-1 Colorado (10.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Houston vs. Colorado? Prediction & correct score

Colorado is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 55.1%.

The most likely correct score is Houston 1-1 Colorado.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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