Minnesota vs. San Diego FC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Minnesota vs. San Diego FC MLS match on April 11, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Minnesota
2
1
Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego FC
Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego FCSD
Score Summary
MinnesotaMIN
L. Bombino (7')
Soccer ball icon
C. McVey (46')
Red Card icon
K. Duncan (15')
Soccer ball icon
K. Yeboah (40')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Diego FC
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Minnesota
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Dieng replaces K. Yeboah
  2. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: B. Hlongwane replaces J. Pereyra
  3. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: B. Duke replaces A. Godoy
  4. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: W. Kumado replaces O. Verhoeven
  5. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: D. Vazquez replaces L. Morgan
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: C. Harvey replaces J. Diaz
  7. 69'
    Yellow Card
    J. Pereyra (Minnesota United) cautioned
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: D. Padelford replaces N. Romero
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Minnesota United: W. Trapp replaces O. Gene
  10. 53'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: M. Ingvartsen replaces B. B. Zamble
  11. 46'
    Red Card
    C. McVey (San Diego FC) sent off for a second yellow card
  12. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by K. Yeboah
    2-1
  13. 30'
    Yellow Card
    O. Verhoeven (San Diego FC) cautioned
  14. 15'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Minnesota United by K. Duncan, assisted by T. Chancalay
    1-1
  15. 11'
    Yellow Card
    C. McVey (San Diego FC) cautioned
  16. 7'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by L. Bombino, assisted by L. Morgan
    0-1

Minnesota vs. San Diego FC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Minnesota vs. San Diego FC
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Snapdragon Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota +280, San Diego FC -105, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Minnesota: 25.2%
  • San Diego FC: 50.9%
  • Draw: 23.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Minnesota 1-1 San Diego FC (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Minnesota vs. San Diego FC? Prediction & correct score

San Diego FC is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.9%.

The most likely correct score is Minnesota 1-1 San Diego FC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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