San Diego FC vs. Dallas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Diego FC vs. Dallas MLS match on March 14, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
San Diego FC
3
:
3
Toyota Stadium
Dallas
Toyota Stadium
DallasFCD
Score Summary
San Diego FCSD
P. Musa (41')
Soccer ball icon
P. Musa (pen.) (54')
Soccer ball icon
P. Musa (90')
Soccer ball icon
O. Valakari (pen.) (21')
Soccer ball icon
M. Ingvartsen (pen.) (31')
Soccer ball icon
O. Valakari (51')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Dallas
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • San Diego FC
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa, assisted by B. Kamungo
    3-3
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    L. Farrington (FC Dallas) cautioned
  3. 86'
    Yellow Card
    L. Bombino (San Diego FC) cautioned
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: R. Binyamin replaces S. Ibeagha
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Deedson replaces J. Valiente
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: P. Delgado replaces Ramiro
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: C. McVey replaces O. Soe
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces C. Cappis
  9. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Dreyer replaces D. Vazquez
  10. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Pellegrino replaces A. Mighten
  11. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa (pen.)
    3-2
  12. 51'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by O. Valakari, assisted by A. Mighten
    3-1
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: O. Verhoeven replaces I. Pilcher
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: J. Tverskov replaces P. Soma
  15. 41'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa
    2-1
  16. 40'
    Yellow Card
    P. Soma (San Diego FC) cautioned
  17. 31'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by M. Ingvartsen (pen.)
    2-0
  18. 30'
    Yellow Card
    H. Johansson (FC Dallas) cautioned
  19. 23'
    Yellow Card
    C. Cappis (FC Dallas) cautioned
  20. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by O. Valakari (pen.)
    1-0

San Diego FC vs. Dallas: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Diego FC vs. Dallas
  • Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Toyota Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Diego FC +210, Dallas +125, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-145/+128)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Diego FC: 33.7%
  • Dallas: 40.3%
  • Draw: 25.9%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Diego FC 1-1 Dallas (12.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win San Diego FC vs. Dallas? Prediction & correct score

Dallas is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 40.3%.

The most likely correct score is San Diego FC 1-1 Dallas.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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