Portland vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Portland vs. San Jose MLS match on September 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Portland
1
3
PayPal Park
San Jose
PayPal Park
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
PortlandPOR
P. Judd (4')
Soccer ball icon
E. Lowen (24')
Soccer ball icon
P. Judd (29')
Soccer ball icon
D. Da Costa (86')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Jose
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Portland
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: A. Aravena replaces E. Miller
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Skahan replaces B. Leroux
  3. 86'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Portland Timbers by D. Da Costa, assisted by E. Izoita
    1-3
  4. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: G. Guerra replaces V. Janssen
  5. 76'
    Yellow Card
    E. Miller (Portland Timbers) cautioned
  6. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: L. Jovanovic replaces P. Judd
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Ricketts replaces Vitor Costa
  8. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Fernandez replaces T. Werner
  9. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: I. Smith replaces J. Fory
  10. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: E. Izoita replaces C. Bassett
  11. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Portland Timbers: Antony replaces A. Lassiter
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: B. Kikanovic replaces P. Marie
  13. 40'
    Yellow Card
    R. Roberts (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  14. 30'
    Yellow Card
    P. Judd (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  15. 29'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by P. Judd, assisted by P. Marie
    0-3
  16. 24'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by E. Lowen, assisted by B. Leroux
    0-2
  17. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by P. Judd, assisted by E. Lowen
    0-1

Portland vs. San Jose: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Portland vs. San Jose
  • Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Portland 28¢, San Jose 49¢, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (73¢/28¢)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Portland: 28.3%
  • San Jose: 50.9%
  • Draw: 20.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Portland 1-2 San Jose (8.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Portland vs. San Jose? Prediction & correct score

San Jose is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 50.9%.

The most likely correct score is Portland 1-2 San Jose.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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