Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia MLS match on September 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Cincinnati
0
5
Subaru Park
Philadelphia
Subaru Park
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
CincinnatiCIN
Q. Sullivan (pen.) (43')
Soccer ball icon
B. Damiani (45')
Soccer ball icon
B. Damiani (49')
Soccer ball icon
B. Damiani (61')
Soccer ball icon
M. Iloski (pen.) (89')
Soccer ball icon
O. Nwobodo (16')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Philadelphia
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Cincinnati
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski (pen.)
    0-5
  2. 87'
    Yellow Card
    T. Anunga (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  3. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Jakupovic replaces B. Damiani
  4. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Bedoya replaces C. Sullivan
  5. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: S. Gidi replaces A. Jabbari
  6. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Iloski replaces E. Alladoh
  7. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces J. Lukic
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: I. Vassilev replaces Q. Sullivan
  9. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Anunga replaces G. Valenzuela
  10. 61'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by B. Damiani, assisted by C. Sullivan
    0-4
  11. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by B. Damiani, assisted by Q. Sullivan
    0-3
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Powell replaces Evander
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Barlow replaces K. Denkey
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: N. Hagglund replaces E. Echenique
  15. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by B. Damiani, assisted by C. Sullivan
    0-2
  16. 43'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by Q. Sullivan (pen.)
    0-1
  17. 40'
    Yellow Card
    Evander (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  18. 16'
    Red Card
    O. Nwobodo (FC Cincinnati) sent off with a straight red card

Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Wednesday, September 9, 2026
  • Time: 7:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cincinnati 20¢, Philadelphia 60¢, draw 21¢
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (74¢/+260)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cincinnati: 20.2%
  • Philadelphia: 61.5%
  • Draw: 18.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cincinnati 1-2 Philadelphia (8.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia? Prediction & correct score

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 61.5%.

The most likely correct score is Cincinnati 1-2 Philadelphia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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