Houston vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Houston vs. Sporting KC MLS match on August 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Houston
2
0
Sporting KC
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
HoustonHOU
L. Johnsen (45')
Red Card icon
Guilherme (55')
Soccer ball icon
A. Bouzat (71')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Sporting KC
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Houston
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces Guilherme
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Samassekou replaces H. Herrera
  3. 86'
    Yellow Card
    Lucas Halter (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Bartlett replaces Z. Bassong
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: S. Suleymanov replaces Capita
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces Felipe Andrade
  7. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: F. Negri replaces A. Bouzat
  8. 71'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by A. Bouzat
    2-0
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: M. Garcia replaces K. Agyabeng
  10. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. McGuire replaces E. Ponce
  11. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: W. Meyer replaces M. Mosquera
  12. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Reid replaces J. Davis
  13. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme, assisted by J. McGlynn
    1-0
  14. 45'
    Red Card
    L. Johnsen (Sporting Kansas City) sent off for a second yellow card
  15. 11'
    Yellow Card
    L. Johnsen (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned

Houston vs. Sporting KC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Houston vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Houston +116, Sporting KC +240, draw +265
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-149/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Houston: 43.6%
  • Sporting KC: 32.5%
  • Draw: 24.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Houston 1-1 Sporting KC (11.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Houston vs. Sporting KC? Prediction & correct score

Houston is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.6%.

The most likely correct score is Houston 1-1 Sporting KC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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