Orlando vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Orlando vs. NY Red Bulls MLS match on August 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Orlando
2
3
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red Bulls
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
OrlandoORL
M. Jimenez (23')
Soccer ball icon
E. Forsberg (43')
Soccer ball icon
M. Jimenez (60')
Soccer ball icon
T. Spicer (52')
Soccer ball icon
G. Dorsey (63')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY Red Bulls
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Orlando
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Marshall-Rutty (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  2. 88'
    Yellow Card
    H. Sarajian (Orlando City) cautioned
  3. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: H. Sarajian replaces J. Ellis
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: C. Harper replaces C. Cowell
  5. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: N. Benedetti replaces E. Forsberg
  6. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: T. Parker replaces D. Nealis
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Marshall-Rutty replaces M. Dos Santos
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: Z. Taifi replaces G. Dorsey
  9. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: M. Sofo replaces M. Jimenez
  10. 69'
    Yellow Card
    I. Angulo (Orlando City) cautioned
  11. 63'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by G. Dorsey, assisted by A. Griezmann
    2-3
  12. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: Luis Otavio replaces E. Atuesta
  13. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by M. Jimenez, assisted by C. Cowell
    1-3
  14. 59'
    Yellow Card
    J. Che (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  15. 52'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by T. Spicer, assisted by B. Ojeda
    1-2
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: B. Rhein replaces A. Gomez
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: T. Spicer replaces Tiago
  18. 43'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. Forsberg, assisted by C. Cowell
    0-2
  19. 27'
    Yellow Card
    D. Nealis (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  20. 23'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by M. Jimenez, assisted by G. Berggren
    0-1

Orlando vs. NY Red Bulls: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Orlando vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Orlando +155, NY Red Bulls +145, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-333/+250)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Orlando: 35.3%
  • NY Red Bulls: 43.7%
  • Draw: 21.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Orlando 1-2 NY Red Bulls (7.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Orlando vs. NY Red Bulls? Prediction & correct score

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.7%.

The most likely correct score is Orlando 1-2 NY Red Bulls.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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