San Jose vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the San Jose vs. Cincinnati MLS match on August 1, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
San Jose
2
4
TQL Stadium
Cincinnati
TQL Stadium
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
San JoseSJ
B. J. Ramirez Leon (34')
Soccer ball icon
T. Barlow (79')
Soccer ball icon
Evander (82')
Soccer ball icon
A. Jabbari (90')
Soccer ball icon
D. Munie (26')
Soccer ball icon
T. Werner (57')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cincinnati
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • San Jose
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces K. Denkey
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by A. Jabbari, assisted by T. Barlow
    2-4
  3. 89'
    Yellow Card
    M. Robinson (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  4. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Powell replaces E. Echenique
  5. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Anunga replaces O. Nwobodo
  6. 87'
    Yellow Card
    P. Bucha (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  7. 82'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Evander, assisted by O. Nwobodo
    2-3
  8. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Jasinski replaces B. Kikanovic
  9. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: D. Romney replaces R. Vieira
  10. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by T. Barlow, assisted by Evander
    2-2
  11. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Skahan replaces O. Bouda
  12. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Barlow replaces K. Mboma
  13. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Hadebe replaces K. Smith
  14. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Ricketts replaces Vitor Costa
  15. 57'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by T. Werner, assisted by P. Judd
    2-1
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces N. Fernandez
  17. 34'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by B. J. Ramirez Leon, assisted by Evander
    1-1
  18. 26'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by D. Munie, assisted by T. Werner
    1-0
  19. 20'
    Yellow Card
    K. Smith (FC Cincinnati) cautioned

San Jose vs. Cincinnati: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: San Jose vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Saturday, August 1, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: San Jose +270, Cincinnati -115, draw +333

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • San Jose: 25.9%
  • Cincinnati: 55.1%
  • Draw: 19.0%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: San Jose 1-2 Cincinnati (7.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win San Jose vs. Cincinnati? Prediction & correct score

Cincinnati is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 55.1%.

The most likely correct score is San Jose 1-2 Cincinnati.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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