LA Galaxy vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the LA Galaxy vs. San Jose MLS match on July 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
LA Galaxy
1
:
1
PayPal Park
San Jose
PayPal Park
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
LA GalaxyLAG
R. Roberts (62')
Soccer ball icon
J. Paintsil (13')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Jose
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • LA Galaxy
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Ricketts (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Penalty missed by T. Werner for San Jose Earthquakes
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    J. Paintsil (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    B. Kikanovic (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  5. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: I. Parente replaces L. Sanabria
  6. 81'
    Yellow Card
    I. Harkes (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  7. 80'
    Yellow Card
    B. Leroux (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  8. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Marie replaces N. Fernandez
  9. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: D. Johnson replaces J. Skahan
  10. 62'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by R. Roberts
    1-1
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: E. Wynder replaces R. Taylor
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: J. Nelson replaces J. Aude
  13. 45'
    Yellow Card
    J. Aude (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  14. 43'
    Yellow Card
    L. Sanabria (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  15. 20'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
  16. 13'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Los Angeles Galaxy by J. Paintsil, assisted by M. Reus
    1-0

LA Galaxy vs. San Jose: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: LA Galaxy vs. San Jose
  • Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LA Galaxy +240, San Jose +105, draw +295

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • LA Galaxy: 22.5%
  • San Jose: 57.4%
  • Draw: 20.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: LA Galaxy 1-2 San Jose (9.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win LA Galaxy vs. San Jose? Prediction & correct score

San Jose is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.4%.

The most likely correct score is LA Galaxy 1-2 San Jose.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

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