Austin vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Austin vs. Houston MLS match on July 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Austin
0
3
Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Shell Energy Stadium
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
AustinAUS
M. Bogusz (12')
Soccer ball icon
M. Bogusz (29')
Soccer ball icon
Guilherme (32')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Austin
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Sviatchenko replaces Lucas Halter
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces Guilherme
  3. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: Z. Kolmanic replaces J. Gallagher
  4. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: E. Torres replaces F. Torres
  5. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: J. McGlynn replaces A. Bouzat
  6. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. McGuire replaces E. Ponce
  7. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: M. Djordjevic replaces O. Svatok
  8. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: Artur replaces D. Samassekou
  9. 62'
    Yellow Card
    B. Sabovic (Austin FC) cautioned
  10. 62'
    Yellow Card
    Lucas Halter (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  11. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: B. Sabovic replaces I. Sanchez
  12. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: J. Rosales replaces P. Placheta
  13. 42'
    Yellow Card
    Felipe Andrade (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  14. 32'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme, assisted by A. Bouzat
    0-3
  15. 29'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by M. Bogusz, assisted by Guilherme
    0-2
  16. 18'
    Yellow Card
    I. Sanchez (Austin FC) cautioned
  17. 12'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by M. Bogusz, assisted by E. Ponce
    0-1

Austin vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Austin vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Austin +380, Houston -143, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-138/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Austin: 19.4%
  • Houston: 58.1%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Austin 0-1 Houston (10.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Austin vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

Houston is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.1%.

The most likely correct score is Austin 0-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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