Toronto vs. D.C. United Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. D.C. United MLS match on July 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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Toronto
1
2
Audi Field
D.C. United
Audi Field
D.C. UnitedDC
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
K. Rowles (41')
Soccer ball icon
T. Baribo (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
T. Corbeanu (76')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D.C. United
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Toronto
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: M. Henry replaces T. Corbeanu
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by T. Baribo (pen.)
    1-2
  3. 88'
    Yellow Card
    J. Osorio (Toronto FC) cautioned
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: N. Ordaz replaces L. Munteanu
  5. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: H. Kijima replaces B. Servania
  6. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: S. Nealis replaces K. Rowles
  7. 76'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by T. Corbeanu
    1-1
  8. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: J. Stroud replaces Peglow
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for DC United: M. Peltola replaces J. Hopkins
  10. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Mihailovic replaces D. Etienne
  11. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: D. Kerr replaces E. Aristizabal
  12. 53'
    Yellow Card
    L. Munteanu (DC United) cautioned
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: A. Coello replaces Z. Monlouis
  14. 41'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for DC United by K. Rowles, assisted by K. Kurokawa
    0-1

Toronto vs. D.C. United: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. D.C. United
  • Date: Saturday, July 25, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Audi Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +260, D.C. United +108, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-132/+110)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Toronto: 29.5%
  • D.C. United: 45.9%
  • Draw: 24.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Toronto 1-1 D.C. United (11.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Toronto vs. D.C. United? Prediction & correct score

D.C. United is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.9%.

The most likely correct score is Toronto 1-1 D.C. United.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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