Charlotte vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Charlotte vs. St Louis City MLS match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Charlotte
1
:
1
CITYPARK
St Louis City
CITYPARK
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
CharlotteCHA
M. Hartel (60')
Soccer ball icon
P. Biel (73')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • St Louis City
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Charlotte
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Totland replaces Rafael Santos
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Teuchert replaces S. Becher
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: T. Smalls replaces I. Toklomati
  4. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: L. MacNaughton replaces D. Polvara
  5. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Perez replaces C. Durkin
  6. 73'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Charlotte by P. Biel
    1-1
  7. 71'
    Yellow Card
    W. Zaha (Charlotte) cautioned
  8. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: D. Diani replaces L. de la Torre
  9. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: K. A. Calderon Vargas replaces L. Abada
  10. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: D. Schnegg replaces H. Toffolo
  11. 66'
    Yellow Card
    J. Orozco (St. Louis City) cautioned
  12. 60'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Hartel
    0-1
  13. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: B. McSorley replaces S. Jeong
  14. 40'
    Yellow Card
    T. Baumgartl (St. Louis City) cautioned
  15. 7'
    Yellow Card
    A. Privett (Charlotte) cautioned

Charlotte vs. St Louis City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Charlotte vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: CITYPARK

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Charlotte +200, St Louis City +150, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+135/+115)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Charlotte: 33.8%
  • St Louis City: 41.9%
  • Draw: 24.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Charlotte 1-1 St Louis City (11.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Charlotte vs. St Louis City? Prediction & correct score

St Louis City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 41.9%.

The most likely correct score is Charlotte 1-1 St Louis City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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