Sporting KC vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Sporting KC vs. San Jose MLS match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Sporting KC
0
3
PayPal Park
San Jose
PayPal Park
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
Sporting KCSKC
D. Munie (42')
Soccer ball icon
P. Judd (45')
Soccer ball icon
D. Munie (54')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Jose
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Sporting KC
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: T. Calheira replaces C. Harris
  2. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Marie replaces J. Ricketts
  3. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza replaces B. Leroux
  4. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Skahan replaces P. Judd
  5. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: Vitor Costa replaces D. Jones
  6. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: J. Miller replaces S. Suleymanov
  7. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces R. Vieira
  8. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by D. Munie
    0-3
  9. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by P. Judd
    0-2
  10. 42'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by D. Munie
    0-1
  11. 38'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: K. Agyabeng replaces J. Reynolds
  12. 36'
    Yellow Card
    D. Munie (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned

Sporting KC vs. San Jose: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Sporting KC vs. San Jose
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sporting KC +340, San Jose -135, draw +340

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Sporting KC: 21.0%
  • San Jose: 59.4%
  • Draw: 19.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Sporting KC 1-2 San Jose (9.4%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Sporting KC vs. San Jose? Prediction & correct score

San Jose is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 59.4%.

The most likely correct score is Sporting KC 1-2 San Jose.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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