Montreal vs. San Diego FC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Montreal vs. San Diego FC MLS match on February 21, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Montreal
0
5
Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego FC
Snapdragon Stadium
San Diego FCSD
Score Summary
MontrealMTL
C. McVey (14')
Soccer ball icon
A. Pellegrino (45')
Soccer ball icon
O. Valakari (54')
Soccer ball icon
M. Ingvartsen (59')
Soccer ball icon
B. B. Zamble (85')
Soccer ball icon
T. Aviles (50')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Diego FC
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Montreal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: J. Neal replaces V. Loturi
  2. 85'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by B. B. Zamble
    0-5
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: B. B. Zamble replaces A. Pellegrino
  4. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: O. Verhoeven replaces L. Bombino
  5. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: P. Soma replaces A. Godoy
  6. 62'
    Yellow Card
    C. McVey (San Diego FC) cautioned
  7. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Rios replaces P. Owusu
  8. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: D. Vazquez replaces M. Ingvartsen
  9. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Diego FC: A. Mighten replaces O. Valakari
  10. 59'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by M. Ingvartsen
    0-4
  11. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by O. Valakari
    0-3
  12. 51'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: B. Craig replaces O. Escobar
  13. 50'
    Red Card
    T. Aviles (CF Montreal) sent off with a straight red card
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: M. Longstaff replaces S. Piette
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: W. Carmona replaces G. Synchuk
  16. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by A. Pellegrino
    0-2
  17. 14'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Diego FC by C. McVey, assisted by A. Dreyer
    0-1
  18. 5'
    Yellow Card
    V. Loturi (CF Montreal) cautioned

Montreal vs. San Diego FC: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Montreal vs. San Diego FC
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Snapdragon Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Montreal +525, San Diego FC -190, draw +340
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-170/+135)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Montreal: 12.9%
  • San Diego FC: 69.6%
  • Draw: 17.5%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Montreal 0-2 San Diego FC (10.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win Montreal vs. San Diego FC? Prediction & correct score

San Diego FC is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 69.6%.

The most likely correct score is Montreal 0-2 San Diego FC.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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