Philadelphia vs. Orlando Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. Orlando MLS match on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Philadelphia
3
4
May 13, 7:30 PM ET
Orlando
May 13, 7:30 PM ET
OrlandoORL
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
M. Ojeda (pen.) (19')
Soccer ball icon
G. Dorsey (27')
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D. McGuire (72')
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M. Ojeda (90')
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M. Iloski (54')
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C. Sullivan (75')
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B. Bender (79')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orlando
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Philadelphia
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Orlando City by M. Ojeda, assisted by A. Gomez
3-4
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: M. Pasalic replaces G. Dorsey
79'
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Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by B. Bender, assisted by S. Korzeniowski
3-3
75'
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Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by C. Sullivan, assisted by B. Damiani
2-3
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces M. Iloski
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: S. Korzeniowski replaces B. Damiani
72'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Orlando City by D. McGuire, assisted by T. Spicer
1-3
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: D. McGuire replaces J. Ellis
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Anello replaces I. Vassilev
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: T. Spicer replaces Tiago
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: A. Gomez replaces D. Brekalo
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Orlando City: Luis Otavio replaces E. Atuesta
60'
Yellow Card
J. Rafanello (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
58'
Yellow Card
D. Jean Jacques (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
54'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski, assisted by N. Harriel
1-2
51'
Yellow Card
Tiago (Orlando City) cautioned
43'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Sullivan replaces J. Lukic
27'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Orlando City by G. Dorsey
0-2
19'
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Goal scored for Orlando City by M. Ojeda (pen.)
0-1
17'
Yellow Card
A. Rick (Philadelphia Union) cautioned

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Philadelphia vs. Orlando: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Orlando
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +188, Orlando +210, draw +285
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-149/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 33.7%
  • Orlando: 42.1%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Philadelphia 1-1 Orlando (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Philadelphia vs. Orlando? Prediction & correct score

Orlando is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.1%.

The most likely correct score is Philadelphia 1-1 Orlando.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Philadelphia vs. Orlando, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.