Philadelphia vs. Orlando Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Philadelphia vs. Orlando MLS match on May 13, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Philadelphia
3
4
Orlando
OrlandoORL
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
M. Ojeda (pen.) (19')
Soccer ball icon
G. Dorsey (27')
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D. McGuire (72')
Soccer ball icon
M. Ojeda (90')
Soccer ball icon
M. Iloski (54')
Soccer ball icon
C. Sullivan (75')
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B. Bender (79')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orlando
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Philadelphia
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by M. Ojeda, assisted by A. Gomez
    3-4
  2. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: M. Pasalic replaces G. Dorsey
  3. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by B. Bender, assisted by S. Korzeniowski
    3-3
  4. 75'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by C. Sullivan, assisted by B. Damiani
    2-3
  5. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces M. Iloski
  6. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: S. Korzeniowski replaces B. Damiani
  7. 72'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by D. McGuire, assisted by T. Spicer
    1-3
  8. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: D. McGuire replaces J. Ellis
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Anello replaces I. Vassilev
  10. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: T. Spicer replaces Tiago
  11. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: A. Gomez replaces D. Brekalo
  12. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: Luis Otavio replaces E. Atuesta
  13. 60'
    Yellow Card
    J. Rafanello (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  14. 58'
    Yellow Card
    D. Jean Jacques (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
  15. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski, assisted by N. Harriel
    1-2
  16. 51'
    Yellow Card
    Tiago (Orlando City) cautioned
  17. 43'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Philadelphia Union: C. Sullivan replaces J. Lukic
  18. 27'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by G. Dorsey
    0-2
  19. 19'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by M. Ojeda (pen.)
    0-1
  20. 17'
    Yellow Card
    A. Rick (Philadelphia Union) cautioned

Philadelphia vs. Orlando: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Orlando
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +188, Orlando +210, draw +285
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-149/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 33.7%
  • Orlando: 42.1%
  • Draw: 24.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Philadelphia 1-1 Orlando (11.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Philadelphia vs. Orlando? Prediction & correct score

Orlando is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.1%.

The most likely correct score is Philadelphia 1-1 Orlando.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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