Toronto vs. Charlotte Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. Charlotte MLS match on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
MLS
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLS sport icon
MLS
Toronto
1
3
Bank of America Stadium
Charlotte
Bank of America Stadium
CharlotteCHA
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
W. Zaha (20')
Soccer ball icon
D. Schnegg (35')
Soccer ball icon
P. Biel (pen.) (84')
Soccer ball icon
R. Edwards (22')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Charlotte
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Toronto
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    A. Westwood (Charlotte) cautioned
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: L. de la Torre replaces P. Biel
  3. 84'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Charlotte by P. Biel (pen.)
    1-3
  4. 83'
    Yellow Card
    J. Osorio (Toronto FC) cautioned
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: F. Bank replaces M. Henry
  6. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: A. Goodwin replaces I. Toklomati
  7. 76'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: W. Cleary replaces N. Byrne
  8. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: R. Aloko replaces K. A. Calderon Vargas
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Charlotte: D. Diani replaces B. Bronico
  10. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: N. Gomis replaces R. Edwards
  11. 54'
    Yellow Card
    M. Henry (Toronto FC) cautioned
  12. 50'
    Yellow Card
    P. Biel (Charlotte) cautioned
  13. 35'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Charlotte by D. Schnegg, assisted by K. A. Calderon Vargas
    1-2
  14. 22'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by R. Edwards, assisted by J. Osorio
    1-1
  15. 20'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Charlotte by W. Zaha, assisted by K. A. Calderon Vargas
    0-1

Toronto vs. Charlotte: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. Charlotte
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Bank of America Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +380, Charlotte -135, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Toronto: 18.8%
  • Charlotte: 60.0%
  • Draw: 21.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Toronto 1-2 Charlotte (10.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win Toronto vs. Charlotte? Prediction & correct score

Charlotte is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 60.0%.

The most likely correct score is Toronto 1-2 Charlotte.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Toronto vs. Charlotte, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.