Toronto vs. Charlotte Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. Charlotte MLS match on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
Toronto
1
3
May 16, 7:30 PM ET Bank of America Stadium
Charlotte
May 16, 7:30 PM ET Bank of America Stadium
CharlotteCHA
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
W. Zaha (20')
Soccer ball icon
D. Schnegg (35')
Soccer ball icon
P. Biel (pen.) (84')
Soccer ball icon
R. Edwards (22')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Charlotte
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Toronto
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
A. Westwood (Charlotte) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Charlotte: L. de la Torre replaces P. Biel
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Charlotte by P. Biel (pen.)
1-3
83'
Yellow Card
J. Osorio (Toronto FC) cautioned
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: F. Bank replaces M. Henry
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Charlotte: A. Goodwin replaces I. Toklomati
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Charlotte: W. Cleary replaces N. Byrne
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Charlotte: R. Aloko replaces K. A. Calderon Vargas
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Charlotte: D. Diani replaces B. Bronico
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Toronto FC: N. Gomis replaces R. Edwards
54'
Yellow Card
M. Henry (Toronto FC) cautioned
50'
Yellow Card
P. Biel (Charlotte) cautioned
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Charlotte by D. Schnegg, assisted by K. A. Calderon Vargas
1-2
22'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Toronto FC by R. Edwards, assisted by J. Osorio
1-1
20'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Charlotte by W. Zaha, assisted by K. A. Calderon Vargas
0-1

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Toronto vs. Charlotte: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. Charlotte
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Bank of America Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +380, Charlotte -135, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-150/+120)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Toronto: 18.8%
  • Charlotte: 60.0%
  • Draw: 21.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Toronto 1-2 Charlotte (10.0%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win Toronto vs. Charlotte? Prediction & correct score

Charlotte is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 60.0%.

The most likely correct score is Toronto 1-2 Charlotte.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Toronto vs. Charlotte, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.