NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago MLS match on May 9, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
NY Red Bulls
3
1
Soldier Field
Chicago
Soldier Field
ChicagoCHI
Score Summary
NY Red BullsNY
D. Nealis (o.g.) (87')
Soccer ball icon
J. Ruvalcaba (45')
Soccer ball icon
C. Cowell (49')
Soccer ball icon
E. M. Choupo-Moting (pen.) (81')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Chicago
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • NY Red Bulls
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    O. Valencia (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  2. 87'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by D. Nealis (o.g.)
    3-1
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: D. Borso replaces M. Haile-Selassie
  4. 82'
    Yellow Card
    M. Haile-Selassie (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  5. 82'
    Yellow Card
    J. Ruvalcaba (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  6. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by E. M. Choupo-Moting (pen.)
    3-0
  7. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: S. Oregel replaces A. Saletros
  8. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Shokalook replaces J. Dean
  9. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: M. Pineda replaces D. D'Avilla
  10. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Che replaces R. Voloder
  11. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: R. Mosquera replaces C. Cowell
  12. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: O. Valencia replaces M. Dos Santos
  13. 62'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane replaces J. Bamba
  14. 61'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: G. Berggren replaces E. Forsberg
  15. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by C. Cowell, assisted by R. Donkor
    2-0
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. M. Choupo-Moting replaces J. Hall
  17. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by J. Ruvalcaba, assisted by E. Forsberg
    1-0
  18. 18'
    Yellow Card
    R. Voloder (New York Red Bulls) cautioned

NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Soldier Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +500, Chicago -200, draw +400
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-300/+240)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY Red Bulls: 18.0%
  • Chicago: 63.6%
  • Draw: 18.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY Red Bulls 1-2 Chicago (9.3%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win NY Red Bulls vs. Chicago? Prediction & correct score

Chicago is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 63.6%.

The most likely correct score is NY Red Bulls 1-2 Chicago.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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