St Louis City vs. Austin Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. Austin MLS match on May 3, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
St Louis City
0
2
Q2 Stadium
Austin
Q2 Stadium
AustinAUS
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
C. Ramirez (69')
Soccer ball icon
M. Uzuni (81')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Austin
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • St Louis City
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    B. McSorley (St. Louis City) cautioned
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: C. Fodrey replaces F. Torres
  3. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: B. Vazquez replaces M. Uzuni
  4. 87'
    Yellow Card
    B. Hines-Ike (Austin FC) cautioned
  5. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: B. McSorley replaces C. Durkin
  6. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: O. Wolff replaces C. Ramirez
  7. 82'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: J. Bell replaces Guilherme Biro
  8. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Austin FC by M. Uzuni, assisted by C. Ramirez
    0-2
  9. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Joyner replaces M. Perez
  10. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: F. Fall replaces S. Becher
  11. 69'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Austin FC by C. Ramirez, assisted by D. Pereira
    0-1
  12. 68'
    Yellow Card
    C. Durkin (St. Louis City) cautioned
  13. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Austin FC: D. Pereira replaces I. Sanchez
  14. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: S. Cordova replaces E. Lowen
  15. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Mbacke replaces L. MacNaughton
  16. 51'
    Yellow Card
    T. Baumgartl (St. Louis City) cautioned
  17. 36'
    Yellow Card
    Guilherme Biro (Austin FC) cautioned

St Louis City vs. Austin: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. Austin
  • Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
  • Time: 5:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Q2 Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +170, Austin +160, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-139/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • St Louis City: 32.2%
  • Austin: 42.6%
  • Draw: 25.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: St Louis City 1-1 Austin (11.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win St Louis City vs. Austin? Prediction & correct score

Austin is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.6%.

The most likely correct score is St Louis City 1-1 Austin.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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