Orlando vs. Miami Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Orlando vs. Miami MLS match on May 2, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Orlando
4
3
Nu Stadium
Miami
Nu Stadium
MiamiMIA
Score Summary
OrlandoORL
I. Fray (4')
Soccer ball icon
T. Segovia (25')
Soccer ball icon
L. Messi (34')
Soccer ball icon
M. Ojeda (39')
Soccer ball icon
M. Ojeda (68')
Soccer ball icon
M. Ojeda (pen.) (78')
Soccer ball icon
T. Spicer (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Miami
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Orlando
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by T. Spicer, assisted by B. Ojeda
    4-3
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: Z. Taifi replaces M. Ojeda
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    M. Crepeau (Orlando City) cautioned
  4. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: D. Brekalo replaces A. Gomez
  5. 78'
    Yellow Card
    L. Messi (Inter Miami) cautioned
  6. 78'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by M. Ojeda (pen.)
    3-3
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: T. Allende replaces L. Suarez
  8. 68'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by M. Ojeda, assisted by A. Gomez
    2-3
  9. 66'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Mura replaces I. Fray
  10. 59'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: D. McGuire replaces J. Ellis
  11. 59'
    Yellow Card
    R. de Paul (Inter Miami) cautioned
  12. 55'
    Yellow Card
    G. Hoyos (Inter Miami) cautioned
  13. 52'
    Yellow Card
    Y. Bright (Inter Miami) cautioned
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: E. Atuesta replaces Luis Otavio
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Orlando City: T. Spicer replaces Tiago
  16. 45'
    Yellow Card
    D. St.Clair (Inter Miami) cautioned
  17. 39'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Orlando City by M. Ojeda, assisted by J. Ellis
    1-3
  18. 36'
    Yellow Card
    A. Gomez (Orlando City) cautioned
  19. 34'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi, assisted by L. Suarez
    0-3
  20. 25'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by T. Segovia, assisted by L. Messi
    0-2
  21. 18'
    Yellow Card
    R. Jansson (Orlando City) cautioned
  22. 4'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by I. Fray, assisted by T. Segovia
    0-1

Orlando vs. Miami: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Orlando vs. Miami
  • Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
  • Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Nu Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Orlando +850, Miami -320, draw +550
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-400/+300)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Orlando: 11.4%
  • Miami: 74.9%
  • Draw: 13.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Orlando 1-3 Miami (8.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Orlando vs. Miami? Prediction & correct score

Miami is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 74.9%.

The most likely correct score is Orlando 1-3 Miami.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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