Seattle Sounders vs. Real Salt Lake prediction, odds, MLS picks [9/23/2026]

MLS action continues on Wednesday at 9:30 PM ET as Salt Lake squares off with Seattle at Lumen Field.

Dimers' advanced MLS model projects Seattle as the most likely winner in this Seattle vs. Salt Lake prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Seattle Sounders vs. Real Salt Lake prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLS matchup between Seattle and Salt Lake, forming part of our MLS predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 53.8% chance of Seattle winning, a 23.6% chance for Salt Lake, and a 22.6% chance of a draw. Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 58.2% chance of going over., according to our model.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best MLS odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Salt Lake +359, Seattle -117
• Total Goals: Over/Under 2.5 (-182/+178)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Salt Lake @ +359 via Polymarket
• Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ +178 via Novig

According to our MLS best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Correct score projections

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

• Seattle 1-1 Salt Lake (10.5% probability)
• Seattle 2-1 Salt Lake (9.8%)
• Seattle 1-0 Salt Lake (9.1%)

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Game info & kickoff details

Wednesday's MLS game between Seattle and Salt Lake in MLS at Lumen Field is scheduled to start at 9:30 PM ET.

• Who: Seattle Sounders vs. Real Salt Lake
• Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2026
• Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
• Venue: Lumen Field

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Seattle has a 53.8% win probability on Wednesday, Salt Lake has a 23.6% win probability, and there is a 22.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLS prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.