Orioles vs. Rays Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Rays MLB game on May 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Orioles
Trevor Rogers 2-4, 5.77 ERA
6
16
May 18, 6:40 PM ET Tropicana Field
Rays
Shane McClanahan 4-2, 2.27 ERA
May 18, 6:40 PM ET Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Orioles
0 0 1 0 3 0 1 1 0 6 12 1
Rays
1 5 0 2 4 4 0 0 X 16 18 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orioles
    0%
  • Rays
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jeremiah Jackson grounds out to shortstop, Taylor Walls to Jonathan Aranda.
Quick Box Score
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Ward LF4110013.2500.900
2 C. Cowser CF1000000.0000.000
3 A. Rutschman C4222111.5001.850
4 P. Alonso 1B5032002.6001.400
5 T. O'Neill RF5000001.0000.000
6 C. Mayo 3B5010001.2000.400
7 J. Jackson 2B5120000.4001.000
8 W. Wilson P4121100.5001.750
9 B. Alexander SS3111011.3331.167
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 H. Feduccia DH10100001.0002.000
2 J. Aranda 1B6111001.1670.334
3 J. Caminero 3B4324120.5001.917
4 R. Vilade RF31330101.0002.467
5 J. DeLuca CF5023000.4001.000
6 C. Simpson LF4010010.2500.900
7 N. Fortes C4200010.0000.200
8 T. Walls SS4320011.5001.600
9 R. Palacios 2B22210101.0002.000

Orioles vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Orioles vs. Rays
  • Date: Monday, May 18, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rays favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Orioles +130, Rays -129

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Orioles: 44%
  • Rays: 56%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 44%, while the Rays have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Orioles vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.