Reds vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Phillies MLB game on May 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Reds
Nick Lodolo 0-1, 8.68 ERA
4
5
May 18, 6:40 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Andrew Painter 1-4, 6.21 ERA
May 18, 6:40 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Reds
0 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 4 6 1
Phillies
2 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 X 5 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
TJ Friedl grounds out to shortstop, Trea Turner to Bryce Harper.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 M. McLain 2B4110002.2500.500
2 E. De La Cruz SS3000011.0000.250
3 S. Steer RF3011010.3331.167
4 D. Myers CF0000000.0000.000
5 S. Stewart 1B4221100.5001.750
6 N. Lowe DH4110001.2500.500
7 T. Stephenson C4011001.2500.500
8 T. Friedl LF3001001.0000.000
9 K. Hayes 3B3000000.0000.000
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4110001.2500.750
2 B. Harper 1B3100011.0000.250
3 J. Duran P0000000.0000.000
4 E. Sosa 3B1101010.0000.500
5 A. García RF3001000.0000.000
6 B. Stott 2B3112110.3331.833
7 J. Realmuto C2000020.0000.500
8 J. Crawford CF4010000.2500.500
9 B. Marsh LF1000000.0000.000

Reds vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Reds vs. Phillies
  • Date: Monday, May 18, 2026
  • Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 10.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Reds +111, Phillies -111

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Reds: 49%
  • Phillies: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 49%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.