Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Marlins MLB game on May 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Phillies
Andrew Painter 1-2, 5.25 ERA
0
4
loanDepot park
Marlins
Max Meyer 1-0, 3.30 ERA
loanDepot park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0
Marlins
0 0 2 0 1 1 0 0 X 4 10 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    0%
  • Marlins
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Trea Turner flies out to center field to Jakob Marsee.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4000000.0000.000
2 K. Schwarber DH3000003.0000.000
3 B. Harper 1B3000002.0000.000
4 A. García CF3000001.0000.000
5 B. Stott 2B3000001.0000.000
6 A. Bohm 3B2000011.0000.333
7 J. Realmuto C3000001.0000.000
8 E. Sosa PH1000000.0000.000
9 F. Reyes RF3000001.0000.000
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Marsee CF3000020.0000.400
2 K. Stowers RF5110002.2000.400
3 O. Lopez SS5121001.4000.800
4 X. Edwards 2B4121100.5001.750
5 L. Hicks C3010011.3330.833
6 A. Ramírez DH2011021.5001.250
7 C. Norby 1B3021011.6671.750
8 J. Sanoja 3B1000000.0000.000
9 E. Ruiz LF4110003.2500.750

Phillies vs. Marlins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Phillies vs. Marlins
  • Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Venue: loanDepot park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Marlins favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies 45¢, Marlins 55¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Phillies: 46%
  • Marlins: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 46%, while the Marlins have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Marlins are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at loanDepot park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Marlins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.