Diamondbacks vs. Padres: MLB Prediction & Analysis
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D-Backs | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
Padres | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | X | 10 | 13 | 1 |
- D-Backs
- Padres
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Nootbaar | LF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .000 | 0.400 |
| 2 | K. Marte | 2B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .400 | 1.000 |
| 3 | A. Del Castillo | PH | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 4 | G. Perdomo | SS | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | 0.400 |
| 5 | C. Carroll | RF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 6 | N. Arenado | 3B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 0.933 |
| 7 | I. Vargas | 1B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | J. McCann | C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 1.250 |
| 9 | T. Tawa | CF | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .750 | 1.500 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Tatis | RF | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 2 | J. Bowen | LF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | M. Machado | 3B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .400 | 1.400 |
| 4 | J. Merrill | CF | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 1.100 |
| 5 | T. France | 1B | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 6 | G. Sheets | DH | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 0.600 |
| 7 | X. Bogaerts | SS | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .500 | 2.750 |
| 8 | J. Cronenworth | 2B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.250 |
| 9 | E. Salas | C | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
Diamondbacks vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup overview: MLB Saturday
- Teams: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
- Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
- Time: 8:40PM ET
- Venue: Petco Park
Current betting odds
- Spread: Diamondbacks (+1.5, -190), Padres (-1.5, +186)
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks +117, Padres -118
- Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-110/+113)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Diamondbacks: 48.8%
- Padres: 51.2%
Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Diamondbacks a win probability of 48.8%, while the Padres have a win probability of 51.2%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Diamondbacks in the MLB game at Petco Park on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Diamondbacks vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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