Rays vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rays | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 1 |
Phillies | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
- Rays
- Phillies
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R. Vilade | DH | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.000 |
| 2 | J. Aranda | 1B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | .000 | 0.333 |
| 3 | L. Hicks | C | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 4 | J. Mateo | 3B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | V. Mesa | LF | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .800 | 2.000 |
| 6 | R. Palacios | 2B | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.350 |
| 7 | J. DeLuca | RF | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .250 | 0.650 |
| 8 | C. Mullins | CF | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 9 | T. Walls | SS | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .200 | 0.600 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | T. Turner | SS | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .400 | 1.000 |
| 2 | K. Schwarber | DH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.200 |
| 3 | B. Harper | 1B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 4 | A. Bohm | 3B | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | B. Stott | 2B | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
| 6 | B. De La Cruz | RF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 7 | B. Marsh | LF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 8 | G. Stubbs | C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.500 |
| 9 | J. Crawford | CF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 0.500 |
Rays vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup overview: MLB Saturday
- Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
- Time: 7:15PM ET
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Current betting odds
- Spread: Rays (+1.5, -205), Phillies (-1.5, +186)
- Moneyline: Rays +113, Phillies -113
- Total (Over/Under): 6.5 runs (-120/+113)
Dimers’ win probabilities
- Rays: 45.3%
- Phillies: 54.7%
Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rays a win probability of 45.3%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 54.7%.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Rays in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Rays vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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