Brewers vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brewers vs. Phillies MLB game on Wednesday, September 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Brewers
Logan Henderson 10-3, 2.51 ERA
4
1
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Aaron Nola 7-10, 4.49 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Brewers
1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 6 0
Phillies
0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 6 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brewers
    100%
  • Phillies
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Trea Turner strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 G. Mitchell CF4100001.0000.000
2 J. Chourio LF4010002.2500.500
3 B. Turang 2B4221101.5002.000
4 W. Contreras C4012001.2500.500
5 J. Bauers 1B4000003.0000.000
6 J. Ortiz SS4010002.2500.500
7 C. Yelich DH3111100.3331.666
8 S. Frelick RF3000000.0000.000
9 D. Hamilton 3B2000011.0000.333
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH3000011.0000.400
2 T. Turner SS5010001.2000.400
3 B. Harper RF3000010.0000.250
4 L. Arraez 2B4000000.0000.000
5 A. Bohm 1B4110002.2500.500
6 B. Stott 3B3020010.6672.083
7 B. De La Cruz LF2010000.5001.500
8 J. Realmuto C4001001.0000.000
9 D. Hill CF2000001.0000.000

Brewers vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Brewers (-1.5, +143), Phillies (+1.5, -150)
  • Moneyline: Brewers -115, Phillies +113
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+125/-122)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Brewers: 50.3%
  • Phillies: 49.7%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Brewers a win probability of 50.3%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 49.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Brewers are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Brewers vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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