Rays vs. Yankees: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rays vs. Yankees MLB game on Wednesday, September 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Rays
Mason Englert 0-3, 4.54 ERA
2
9
Yankee Stadium
Yankees
Gerrit Cole 9-9, 3.64 ERA
Yankee Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Rays
0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 6 1
Yankees
1 1 5 1 0 0 0 1 X 9 12 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rays
    0%
  • Yankees
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jorge Mateo strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 V. Mesa LF3000010.0000.250
2 J. Aranda DH4000002.0000.000
3 N. Fortes C2000001.0000.000
4 L. Hicks 1B2100020.0000.500
5 J. DeLuca RF4031001.7501.750
6 R. Palacios 2B4010001.2500.500
7 R. Vilade 3B4000001.0000.000
8 C. Mullins CF4111100.2501.250
9 J. Mateo SS4010003.2500.500
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Rice DH4232210.7503.050
2 G. Lombard SS5111104.2001.000
3 L. García 1B4110012.2500.650
4 H. Ramos RF4021001.5000.900
5 S. Jones CF5110002.2000.600
6 J. Chisholm 2B3110011.3330.833
7 J. Caballero LF3100010.0000.250
8 R. McMahon 3B4125101.5001.750
9 A. Sánchez C4110000.2500.500

Rays vs. Yankees: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. NY Yankees Yankees
  • Date: Wednesday, September 23, 2026
  • Time: 7:05PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Rays (+1.5, -182), Yankees (-1.5, +178)
  • Moneyline: Rays +128, Yankees -127
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 runs (-106/+104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Rays: 40.5%
  • Yankees: 59.5%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rays a win probability of 40.5%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 59.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Rays in the MLB game at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rays vs. Yankees predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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