Brewers vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brewers vs. Phillies MLB game on Tuesday, September 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Brewers
Dustin May 7-9, 4.61 ERA
4
6
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Zack Wheeler 13-5, 2.99 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Brewers
0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 1 4 6 2
Phillies
0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 X 6 8 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brewers
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Cooper Pratt grounds out to second base, Luis Arraez to Alec Bohm.
Quick Box Score
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 G. Mitchell CF4110002.2500.500
2 J. Chourio LF3100012.0000.250
3 B. Turang 2B4010002.2500.500
4 W. Contreras C3013002.3330.583
5 J. Bauers 1B4010003.2500.500
6 C. Yelich DH3100012.0000.250
7 L. Lara RF4011001.2500.500
8 C. Pratt SS4000001.0000.000
9 D. Hamilton 3B3110000.3330.666
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH4000001.0000.000
2 T. Turner SS4110000.2500.500
3 B. Harper RF3000010.0000.250
4 L. Arraez 2B4120000.5001.000
5 A. Bohm 1B4121000.5001.250
6 B. Stott 3B3211010.3330.833
7 B. Marsh LF4123101.5002.000
8 J. Realmuto C3000011.0000.250
9 D. Hill CF1000000.0000.000

Brewers vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Tuesday, September 22, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Brewers (+1.5, -160), Phillies (-1.5, +156)
  • Moneyline: Brewers +141, Phillies -135
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+120/-122)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Brewers: 40.2%
  • Phillies: 59.8%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Brewers a win probability of 40.2%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 59.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Brewers in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Brewers vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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