Yankees vs. Twins: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Twins MLB game on Wednesday, September 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Yankees
Carlos Rodón 6-3, 2.94 ERA
4
5
Target Field
Twins
Zebby Matthews 9-10, 4.98 ERA
Target Field
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 RHE
Yankees
0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 0 4 9 1
Twins
1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 5 10 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    0%
  • Twins
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Victor Caratini singles to shallow center field. Luke Keaschall scores.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Rice DH3010031.3331.000
2 C. Bellinger 1B5130010.6001.267
3 H. Ramos RF3000011.0000.250
4 A. Sánchez C2011001.5001.000
5 S. Jones CF6000005.0000.000
6 G. Lombard SS6210000.1670.334
7 R. McMahon 3B6000004.0000.000
8 J. Caballero LF0101000.0000.000
9 A. Volpe 2B5022000.4001.000
Twins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 L. Keaschall RF5231000.6001.200
2 V. Caratini PH10110001.0002.000
3 R. Jeffers C4000013.0000.200
4 W. Jenkins DH0100000.0000.000
5 K. Clemens 2B4010012.2500.650
6 R. Lewis 1B4001001.0000.000
7 E. Rodriguez CF4000011.0000.200
8 R. Kreidler SS4111112.2501.400
9 B. Lee 3B2110000.5001.167

Yankees vs. Twins: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: NY Yankees Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
  • Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2026
  • Time: 1:40PM ET
  • Venue: Target Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Yankees (-1.5, +110), Twins (+1.5, -105)
  • Moneyline: Yankees -155, Twins +163
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+108/-111)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Yankees: 55.5%
  • Twins: 44.5%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 55.5%, while the Twins have a win probability of 44.5%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Twins in the MLB game at Target Field on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Twins predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.