Tigers vs. Blue Jays: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Tigers vs. Blue Jays MLB game on Wednesday, September 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Tigers
Keider Montero 9-8, 3.55 ERA
1
5
Rogers Centre
Blue Jays
Max Scherzer 2-8, 6.38 ERA
Rogers Centre
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Tigers
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 7 3
Blue Jays
0 0 0 2 1 2 0 0 X 5 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Tigers
    0%
  • Blue Jays
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Kevin McGonigle called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Tigers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. McGonigle 3B5020001.4000.800
2 H. Lee 2B4000001.0000.000
3 G. Torres DH2010000.5001.000
4 R. Greene LF4011000.2500.500
5 D. Dingler C4000000.0000.000
6 M. Clark CF4010001.2500.500
7 S. Torkelson 1B2010021.5001.250
8 B. Callahan RF3000011.0000.250
9 J. Peck SS4000001.0000.000
Blue Jays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Bateman CF4120001.5001.000
2 N. Lukes RF3011001.3330.666
3 V. Guerrero 1B3010010.3330.833
4 G. Springer DH4011001.2500.500
5 K. Okamoto 3B3100011.0000.250
6 J. Smith 2B4110000.2500.750
7 E. Clement SS3101000.0000.000
8 B. Valenzuela C3110010.3330.833
9 M. Straw LF4021000.5001.000

Tigers vs. Blue Jays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
  • Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2026
  • Time: 3:07PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Centre

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Tigers (+1.5, -182), Blue Jays (-1.5, +178)
  • Moneyline: Tigers +117, Blue Jays -120
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+108/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Tigers: 43.7%
  • Blue Jays: 56.3%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Tigers a win probability of 43.7%, while the Blue Jays have a win probability of 56.3%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Blue Jays are more likely to beat the Tigers in the MLB game at Rogers Centre on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Tigers vs. Blue Jays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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