Cardinals vs. Phillies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cardinals vs. Phillies MLB game on Sunday, August 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Cardinals
Kyle Leahy 10-4, 3.24 ERA
4
6
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Cristopher Sánchez 16-4, 2.51 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cardinals
1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 4 10 0
Phillies
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cardinals
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Kyle Schwarber homers to center field. Bryan De La Cruz scores.
Quick Box Score
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt SS5121002.4000.800
2 I. Herrera DH3010011.3330.833
3 J. Walker RF4110001.2500.500
4 A. Burleson 1B4022001.5001.000
5 N. Church CF0000000.0000.000
6 B. Jordan 3B4010000.2500.500
7 J. Fermín LF4111101.2501.250
8 R. Urías 2B4110000.2500.500
9 P. Pagés C4010001.2500.500
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber 1B5112101.2001.000
2 T. Turner SS4000001.0000.000
3 B. Harper DH3120011.6672.083
4 L. Arraez 2B1000000.0000.000
5 B. Marsh LF3010010.3330.833
6 J. Realmuto C4110000.2500.500
7 J. Crawford CF3100010.0000.250
8 E. Sosa 3B4123001.5001.250
9 B. De La Cruz RF4121001.5001.250

Cardinals vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
  • Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
  • Time: 1:35PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Cardinals (+1.5, -113), Phillies (-1.5, +113)
  • Moneyline: Cardinals +200, Phillies -203
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-113/+113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Cardinals: 32.8%
  • Phillies: 67.2%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cardinals a win probability of 32.8%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 67.2%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cardinals vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.