Rays vs. Orioles: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rays vs. Orioles MLB game on Sunday, August 23, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Rays
Nick Martinez 12-4, 3.05 ERA
3
1
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Shane Baz 4-13, 4.02 ERA
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Rays
0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 3 7 1
Orioles
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rays
    100%
  • Orioles
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Gunnar Henderson grounds out to second base, Richie Palacios to Jonathan Aranda.
Quick Box Score
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Y. Díaz DH4110000.2500.500
2 J. Aranda 1B4110001.2500.500
3 J. Caminero 3B3111010.3330.833
4 K. Piper C0000000.0000.000
5 C. Simpson LF3021010.6671.417
6 J. DeLuca RF4010000.2500.500
7 C. Mullins CF3000011.0000.250
8 R. Palacios 2B4000000.0000.000
9 T. Walls SS3000011.0000.250
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Holliday 2B4000000.0000.000
2 P. Alonso 1B4000000.0000.000
3 G. Henderson SS4000001.0000.000
4 S. Basallo C3000001.0000.000
5 C. Mayo DH3000001.0000.000
6 D. Beavers LF3000001.0000.000
7 C. Encarnacion-Strand 3B3000001.0000.000
8 C. Cowser CF3121100.6672.667
9 L. Taveras RF3000000.0000.000

Rays vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles
  • Date: Sunday, August 23, 2026
  • Time: 1:35PM ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Rays (-1.5, +167), Orioles (+1.5, -170)
  • Moneyline: Rays +104, Orioles -104
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-115/+117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Rays: 48.2%
  • Orioles: 51.8%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rays a win probability of 48.2%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 51.8%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Orioles are more likely to beat the Rays in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rays vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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