Reds vs. Diamondbacks: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Reds vs. Diamondbacks MLB game on Friday, August 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Reds
Nick Lodolo 3-2, 4.52 ERA
0
9
Chase Field
D-Backs
Eduardo Rodriguez 12-4, 2.71 ERA
Chase Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Reds
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0
D-Backs
1 3 1 1 0 0 1 2 X 9 15 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Reds
    0%
  • D-Backs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Will Banfield strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 E. De La Cruz SS4000001.0000.000
2 S. Stewart 1B4010001.2500.500
3 D. Myers CF3010010.3330.833
4 E. Suárez DH2000020.0000.500
5 M. McLain 2B4000001.0000.000
6 J. Bleday RF4000003.0000.000
7 W. Banfield C1000001.0000.000
8 T. Friedl LF2010000.5001.167
9 K. Hayes 3B3010001.3330.666
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 I. Vargas 2B4001000.0000.000
2 J. Barrosa RF0000000.0000.000
3 G. Moreno C5021000.4000.800
4 J. McCann 1B0000000.0000.000
5 N. Arenado DH5111001.2000.400
6 T. Tawa 3B4121010.5001.350
7 J. Lawlar CF5233101.6001.800
8 J. Fernandez SS2110020.5001.250
9 R. Waldschmidt LF3011011.3331.167

Reds vs. Diamondbacks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Date: Friday, August 21, 2026
  • Time: 9:40PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Reds (+1.5, -147), Diamondbacks (-1.5, +145)
  • Moneyline: Reds +141, Diamondbacks -141
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+106/-108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Reds: 42.6%
  • Diamondbacks: 57.4%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Reds a win probability of 42.6%, while the Diamondbacks have a win probability of 57.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Diamondbacks are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Chase Field on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Reds vs. Diamondbacks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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