Cubs vs. Orioles Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cubs vs. Orioles MLB game on July 8, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Cubs
Colin Rea 6-5, 4.74 ERA
9
7
Jul 8, 6:35 PM ET Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Dean Kremer 1-1, 3.18 ERA
Jul 8, 6:35 PM ET Oriole Park at Camden Yards
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cubs
0 0 1 0 3 0 5 0 0 9 8 0
Orioles
0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 0 7 14 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cubs
    100%
  • Orioles
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Pete Alonso grounds out to shallow infield, Carson Kelly to Michael Busch.
Quick Box Score
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF4322212.5002.600
2 A. Bregman 3B4001000.0000.000
3 M. Busch 1B4110010.2500.650
4 S. Suzuki DH4113100.2501.250
5 I. Happ LF4010001.2500.500
6 N. Hoerner 2B3000010.0000.250
7 J. Dean RF0000000.0000.000
8 C. Kelly C3211111.3331.833
9 D. Swanson SS4110001.2500.500
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 G. Henderson SS5100000.0000.000
2 A. Rutschman C4010010.2500.650
3 T. Ward LF4121011.5001.100
4 P. Alonso 1B5112100.2001.000
5 S. Basallo DH4000002.0000.000
6 L. Taveras CF0000000.0000.000
7 T. O'Neill RF22222001.0005.000
8 B. Alexander 3B4110001.2500.500
9 J. Holliday 2B40400001.0002.250

Cubs vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cubs vs. Orioles
  • Date: Wednesday, July 8, 2026
  • Time: 6:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Orioles favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 10.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Cubs +120, Orioles -122

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cubs: 48%
  • Orioles: 52%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 48%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 52%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Orioles are more likely to beat the Cubs in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cubs vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.