Sep 20, 2026
Athletics vs. Guardians prediction: Why Cleveland is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [9/20/2026]
Read Article Yankees vs. Diamondbacks prediction: Why Arizona is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [9/20/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Dimers' simulation model projects a 51.2% win probability for the Diamondbacks at Chase Field.
The Arizona Diamondbacks will square off with the New York Yankees, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Chase Field on Sunday, starting at 4:10 PM ET.
The Diamondbacks will send Corbin Burnes (0-0, 5.87 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Will Warren (10-6, 3.89 ERA) for the Yankees.
Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Diamondbacks a slight edge with a 51.2% win probability over the Yankees.
This article offers a complete Yankees vs. Diamondbacks prediction, including best bets and picks.
Yankees vs. Diamondbacks prediction and odds
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Yankees and Diamondbacks, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Diamondbacks a 51.2% chance of defeating the Yankees. According to our model, the Diamondbacks (+1.5) have a 63.4% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 54.6% chance of going over.
Latest betting odds
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Run Line: Yankees -1.5 (+156) / Diamondbacks +1.5 (-156)
- Moneyline: Yankees -108, Diamondbacks +104
- Total: Over/Under 8.5 (+102/-104)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Run line: Diamondbacks +1.5 @ 61¢ via Novig
- Moneyline: Diamondbacks @ 49¢ via Novig
- Total: Over 8.5 @ 50¢ via Novig
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Game info & first pitch details
Sunday's MLB action between the Diamondbacks and Yankees at Chase Field is scheduled to commence at 4:10 PM ET.
- Who: New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
- Time: 4:10 PM ET/1:10PM PT
- Venue: Chase Field
Conclusion
We predict the Diamondbacks, with a 51.2% win probability, will likely beat the Yankees in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary MLB prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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