Yankees vs. Diamondbacks: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Diamondbacks MLB game on Sunday, September 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Yankees
Will Warren 10-6, 3.89 ERA
4
8
Chase Field
D-Backs
Corbin Burnes 0-0, 5.87 ERA
Chase Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 8 1
D-Backs
1 0 0 0 5 0 2 0 X 8 11 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    0%
  • D-Backs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
José Caballero grounds out to shallow infield. Austin Wells out at second.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Rice DH3000010.0000.250
2 C. Bellinger LF4010003.2500.500
3 H. Ramos RF4111101.2501.250
4 L. García 1B4110000.2500.500
5 G. Lombard SS4122100.5001.750
6 S. Jones CF4111102.2501.250
7 A. Volpe 2B4010000.2500.500
8 A. Wells C3010011.3330.833
9 J. Caballero 3B4000001.0000.000
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Lawlar CF2000001.0000.000
2 K. Marte 2B4120000.5001.000
3 G. Moreno C3220010.6671.417
4 G. Perdomo SS4122001.5001.500
5 C. Carroll RF3112010.3330.833
6 N. Arenado 3B4114101.2501.250
7 J. Sánchez DH3000010.0000.250
8 I. Vargas 1B2010000.5001.000
9 T. Tawa LF4000001.0000.000

Yankees vs. Diamondbacks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Sunday

  • Teams: NY Yankees Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Date: Sunday, September 20, 2026
  • Time: 4:10PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Yankees (+1.5, -203), Diamondbacks (-1.5, +168)
  • Moneyline: Yankees +113, Diamondbacks -115
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+113/-117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Yankees: 46.4%
  • Diamondbacks: 53.6%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 46.4%, while the Diamondbacks have a win probability of 53.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Diamondbacks are more likely to beat the Yankees in the MLB game at Chase Field on Sunday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Diamondbacks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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