Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Red Sox MLB game on September 12, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Yankees
Luis Gil 3-1, 3.31 ERA
4
1
Fenway Park
Red Sox
Lucas Giolito 10-3, 3.38 ERA
Fenway Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
1 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 4 9 2
Red Sox
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    100%
  • Red Sox
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Nate Eaton strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF500000200.000
2 A. Judge DH32111110.3331.933
3 P. Goldschmidt 1B100000000.000
4 C. Bellinger RF40110010.250.500
5 A. Slater LF000000000.000
6 J. Chisholm 2B40200000.51.000
7 A. Wells C300001200.250
8 J. Caballero SS41100000.250.750
9 R. McMahon 3B41110000.250.500
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Duran LF400000100.000
2 A. Bregman 3B30100100.3330.833
3 T. Story SS400000000.000
4 N. Lowe 1B400000300.000
5 M. Yoshida DH400000000.000
6 C. Narváez C300001200.250
7 D. Hamilton 2B300001100.250
8 N. Eaton RF41111020.251.250
9 C. Rafaela CF100002100.667

Yankees vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Yankees vs. Red Sox
  • Date: Friday, September 12, 2025
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees -115, Red Sox +102

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Yankees: 55%
  • Red Sox: 45%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 55%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.