MLB player props today: Friday's best props include Cristian Javier [9/10/2026]

Cristian Javier over 1.5 walks allowed (-169)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 67.1%
• Game: Astros vs. Phillies (1:05PM ET)

Our model has found value on Houston's Cristian Javier over 1.5 walks allowed. A probability of 67.1% gives this play an edge of 4.3% at -169 odds.

Logan Gilbert under 4.5 hits allowed (-135)

• Edge: 7.0%
• Probability: 64.4%
• Game: Rangers vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET)

Logan Gilbert’s hits allowed prop shows a 64.4% probability and an 7.0% edge at -135 odds, according to our model.

Cristian Javier over 3.5 strikeouts (-147)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Game: Astros vs. Phillies (1:05PM ET)

The data highlights value on Cristian Javier over 3.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 63.9% probability and a 4.4% edge at -147.

Justin Crawford to get a hit (-154)

• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 63.0%
• Game: Astros vs. Phillies (1:05PM ET)

Our model finds value on Justin Crawford to get a hit, with a 63.0% probability and an edge of 2.4% at -154 odds.

Ryan Feltner under 15.5 outs recorded (-136)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 62.0%
• Game: Rockies vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Ryan Feltner under 15.5 outs recorded for Colorado, showing an edge of 4.3% at -136 odds.

Nick Martinez over 5.5 hits allowed (-109)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 61.3%
• Game: Rays vs. Braves (12:15PM ET)

Nick Martinez’s hits allowed prop shows an edge of 9.2% at -109 odds, supported by a 61.3% probability according to our model.

Anthony Volpe to get a hit (-134)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 60.5%
• Game: Rockies vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Anthony Volpe to get a hit for NY Yankees, with a 60.5% probability and a 3.2% edge at -134 odds.

Max Fried over 1.5 earned runs (-109)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 60.3%
• Game: Rockies vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

The data shows value on Max Fried over 1.5 earned runs, supported by a 60.3% probability at -109 odds and an edge of 8.1%.

Austin Wells over 0.5 bases (-120)

• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 59.9%
• Game: Rockies vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

A 5.4% edge on the over 1.5 bases line makes Austin Wells a value play in Rockies vs. Yankees, supported by a 59.9% probability at -120 odds.

Austin Wells to get a hit (-125)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 59.9%
• Game: Rockies vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET)

Simulations show value on Austin Wells to get a hit here, with a 59.9% probability and 4.3% edge at -125 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Thursday, September 10, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:11AM ET:

Conclusion

For September 10, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Cristian Javier, Logan Gilbert and Justin Crawford. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.