Mets vs. Yankees: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Yankees MLB game on Friday, September 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Mets
Nolan McLean 11-8, 3.06 ERA
4
6
Yankee Stadium
Yankees
Carlos Rodón 5-3, 3.09 ERA
Yankee Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 4 7 0
Yankees
1 3 0 0 1 0 0 1 X 6 13 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    0%
  • Yankees
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Juan Soto grounds out to first base. Francisco Lindor out at second.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS5010001.2000.400
2 J. Soto LF5010002.2000.400
3 B. Bichette 3B4110001.2500.500
4 C. Pache DH0000000.0000.000
5 C. Benge RF3110011.3330.833
6 M. Semien 2B2011011.5001.000
7 J. Young 1B2000000.0000.000
8 A. Ewing CF4122100.5001.750
9 F. Alvarez C3000011.0000.250
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Rice DH4331100.7502.250
2 C. Bellinger LF4123101.5001.750
3 A. Judge RF3010012.3330.833
4 P. Goldschmidt 1B0000000.0000.000
5 S. Jones CF4021002.5001.000
6 G. Lombard SS3000001.0000.000
7 R. McMahon 3B4011000.2500.500
8 A. Wells C4000001.0000.000
9 A. Volpe 2B4110000.2500.500

Mets vs. Yankees: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. NY Yankees Yankees
  • Date: Friday, September 11, 2026
  • Time: 7:05PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Mets (+1.5, -178), Yankees (-1.5, +170)
  • Moneyline: Mets +117, Yankees -122
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (+108/-117)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Mets: 46.0%
  • Yankees: 54.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 46.0%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 54.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Yankee Stadium on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Yankees predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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