Mets vs. Yankees: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Yankees MLB game on Friday, September 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
MLB
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MLB
Mets
Nolan McLean 11-8, 3.06 ERA
vs.
Yankee Stadium
Yankees
Carlos Rodón 5-3, 3.09 ERA
Yankee Stadium
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update:

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Mets
    44.4%
    PolymarketPolymarket
  • Yankees
    55.6%
    NovigNovig

Mets vs. Yankees: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: NY Mets Mets vs. NY Yankees Yankees
  • Date: Friday, September 11, 2026
  • Time: 7:05PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

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    Dimers’ win probabilities

    • Mets: 44.4%
    • Yankees: 55.6%

    Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

    Our Prediction: Who Wins?

    After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 44.4%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 55.6%.

    Summary

    According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Yankee Stadium on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

    Our Mets vs. Yankees predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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