Orioles vs. Blue Jays: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Blue Jays MLB game on Friday, September 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Orioles
Chris Bassitt 6-5, 4.96 ERA
7
4
Rogers Centre
Blue Jays
Max Scherzer 2-7, 6.03 ERA
Rogers Centre
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Orioles
1 5 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 7 11 1
Blue Jays
0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 4 10 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orioles
    100%
  • Blue Jays
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Alejandro Kirk hits into a force out to second base. Vladimir Guerrero out at second.
Quick Box Score
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Beavers LF5123101.4001.400
2 P. Alonso 1B5000002.0000.000
3 J. Holliday 2B5000002.0000.000
4 C. Mayo DH5111101.2001.000
5 G. Henderson SS4120001.5001.000
6 S. Basallo C3110010.3330.833
7 C. Encarnacion-Strand 3B4130001.7501.500
8 L. Taveras RF1000000.0000.000
9 C. Cowser CF3112012.3331.167
Blue Jays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Bateman CF5132101.6001.800
2 R. Martin PR0000000.0000.000
3 V. Guerrero 1B4010012.2500.650
4 A. Kirk C3000021.0000.400
5 N. Lukes RF4110001.2500.500
6 K. Okamoto 3B4121101.5002.000
7 S. Keys PH1000001.0000.000
8 A. Giménez SS4001000.0000.000
9 E. Clement 2B4110000.2500.750

Orioles vs. Blue Jays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
  • Date: Friday, September 11, 2026
  • Time: 7:07PM ET
  • Venue: Rogers Centre

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Orioles (+1.5, -178), Blue Jays (-1.5, +170)
  • Moneyline: Orioles +122, Blue Jays +118
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-113/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Orioles: 42.9%
  • Blue Jays: 57.1%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 42.9%, while the Blue Jays have a win probability of 57.1%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Blue Jays are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Rogers Centre on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Orioles vs. Blue Jays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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